Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 51.55%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 24.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.08%) and 0-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 1-0 (6.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.