Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 47.1%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 1-0 (7.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.