Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.08%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 (7.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.