Champions League
Jul 14, 2026 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Windsor Park
  • Matt Ridley 25' goal
  • Conor McKendry 53' yellowcard
  • Dan Bent 69' goal
  • goal Pietro Mengucci 11'
  • yellowcard Alessandro D'Addario 32'
  • yellowcard Tom Syku 49'
  • yellowcard Simone Rea 58'
  • redcard Simone Rea 63'
  • yellowcard Nico Manara 67'
  • redcard Tommaso Bernardi 90'
  • yellowcard Giulio Ponticelli 90'+2'

Larne vs Tre Fiori - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Larne

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jul 7, 2026 7.30pm
Tre Fiori 0 - 1 Larne

Tre Fiori

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jul 7, 2026 7.30pm
Tre Fiori 0 - 1 Larne

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Tre Fiori had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Tre Fiori win was 0-1 (8.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result

Larne 42.85%
Draw 25.77%
Tre Fiori 31.38% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.93%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.63% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 25.37% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 51.43%
Under 2.5 48.57%
Over 3.5 29.77%
Under 3.5 70.23%
Over 4.5 17.43% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 82.57% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Larne 30.11%
Draw 44.15%
Tre Fiori 25.73%

Team To Score First

Larne 54.78%
No Goal 7.56%
Tre Fiori 37.66%

Corners

Over 8 49.55%
Equal 8 12.1%
Under 8 38.34% (-0.01)
Over 9 38.02% (+0.02)
Equal 9 11.54%
Under 9 50.45%
Over 10.5 27.9%
Under 10.5 72.1%

Larne Goals

Over 1.5 41.88%
Under 1.5 58.12%
Over 2.5 18.74% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 81.26% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 6.72%
Under 3.5 93.28%

Tre Fiori Goals

Over 0.5 65.54% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 34.46% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 32.95% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 67.05% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 13.06% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 86.94% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.64% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.36% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Larne 42.85%
Draw 25.77%
Tre Fiori 31.38%
Larne
1-0 @ 9.8% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.71%
2-0 @ 7.02% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.3%
3-0 @ 3.6% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.94%
Other @ 6.48%
Total : 42.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.57%
0-0 @ 7.56%
2-2 @ 5.22%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 25.77%
Tre Fiori
0-1 @ 8.01% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.12%
0-2 @ 4.61%
1-3 @ 2.82% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.23% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.19%
Other @ 4.4% (+0.02)
Total : 31.38%

Head to Head

Champions League
Jul 7, 2026 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle
  • Matteo Prandelli  58' yellowcard
  • Danilo Girolomoni 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sean Graham 10'
  • yellowcard Sam McClelland 19'
  • goal Matthew Lusty 45'