Champions League
Jul 14, 2026 8.00pm
Windsor Park

Larne vs Tre Fiori - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Larne

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jul 7, 2026 7.30pm
Tre Fiori 0 - 1 Larne

Tre Fiori

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jul 7, 2026 7.30pm
Tre Fiori 0 - 1 Larne

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Larne win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Tre Fiori has a probability of 31.38% and a draw has a probability of 25.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Tre Fiori win is 0-1 (8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.57%).

Result

Larne 42.86%
Draw 25.76%
Tre Fiori 31.38% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.96% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.66% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 25.34% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 51.47% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 48.53% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 29.8% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 70.2% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 17.47% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 82.53% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Larne 30.1%
Draw 44.17% (-0.01)
Tre Fiori 25.73% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Larne 54.78% (+0.01)
No Goal 7.55%
Tre Fiori 37.67% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 49.52%
Equal 8 12.1%
Under 8 38.38%
Over 9 37.99%
Equal 9 11.53%
Under 9 50.48%
Over 10.5 27.89%
Under 10.5 72.11%

Larne Goals

Over 1.5 41.9% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 58.1% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 18.77% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 81.23% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 6.74%
Under 3.5 93.26%

Tre Fiori Goals

Over 0.5 65.55%
Under 0.5 34.45%
Over 1.5 32.97%
Under 1.5 67.03%
Over 2.5 13.07%
Under 2.5 86.93%
Over 3.5 4.65%
Under 3.5 95.35%

Score analysis

Larne 42.86%
Draw 25.76%
Tre Fiori 31.38%
Larne
1-0 @ 9.79%
2-1 @ 8.71%
2-0 @ 7.01% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.3%
3-0 @ 3.6% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.95%
Other @ 6.5%
Total : 42.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.57%
0-0 @ 7.55%
2-2 @ 5.22%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 25.76%
Tre Fiori
0-1 @ 8%
1-2 @ 7.12%
0-2 @ 4.61%
1-3 @ 2.82%
0-3 @ 2.23% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.41%
Total : 31.38%

Head to Head

Champions League
Jul 7, 2026 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle
  • Matteo Prandelli  58' yellowcard
  • Danilo Girolomoni 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sean Graham 10'
  • yellowcard Sam McClelland 19'
  • goal Matthew Lusty 45'