Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 48.55%. A win for Saburtalo Tbilisi had a probability of 25.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Saburtalo Tbilisi win was 0-1 (6.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.