Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saburtalo Tbilisi win with a probability of 48.12%. A win for MFK Ruzomberok had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saburtalo Tbilisi win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.82%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest MFK Ruzomberok win was 1-0 (7.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.