Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 2
Jul 31, 2026 7.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Arena Lublin
  • Karol Czubak 82' goal
  • goal Nik Prelec 33'
  • yellowcard Guilherme Montóia 40'
  • yellowcard Bernardo Vital 82'
  • goal Sergio Lozano 85'
  • yellowcard Kamil Jóźwiak 90'+2'

Motor Lublin vs Jagiellonia Bialystok - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Motor Lublin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Jul 26, 2026 4.30pm
Widzew Lodz 2 - 2 Motor Lublin

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 1.45pm
Jagiellonia 1 - 0 Korona Kielce

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Motor Lublin had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Motor Lublin win was 2-1 (8.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result

Motor Lublin 34.26% (+0.02)
Draw 25.72%
Jagiellonia Bialystok 39.97% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.78%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.5% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 21.5% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 55.53% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 44.47% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 32.73% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 67.27% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 18.86% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 81.14% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Motor Lublin 25.88%
Draw 44.21% (-0.01)
Jagiellonia Bialystok 29.9% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Motor Lublin 46.9% (-0.10)
No Goal 6.05% (-0.03)
Jagiellonia Bialystok 47.05% (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 64.15% (-0.04)
Equal 8 10.8% (+0.02)
Under 8 25.05% (+0.04)
Over 9 52.56% (-0.05)
Equal 9 11.59% (+0.01)
Under 9 35.85% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 41.19% (-0.06)
Under 10.5 58.81% (+0.06)

Motor Lublin Goals

Over 1.5 37.59% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 62.41% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 15.02% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 84.98% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 4.8% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 95.2% (-0.04)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5 74.32% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 25.68% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 42.93% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 57.07% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 18.64% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 81.36% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 6.73%
Under 3.5 93.27%

Score analysis

Motor Lublin 34.26%
Draw 25.72%
Jagiellonia Bialystok 39.96%
Motor Lublin
2-1 @ 8.18% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.54% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 5.02% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.47% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.04% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.36% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.65% (+0.03)
Total : 34.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.89% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.28% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.05% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.35% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.15% (+0.02)
Total : 25.72%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
1-2 @ 8.9%
0-1 @ 7.85% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 6.07% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 4.12%
0-3 @ 3.35% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.09%
Other @ 6.58% (-0.02)
Total : 39.96%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 20
Feb 7, 2026 4.30pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion Miejski
  • Afimico Pululu 13' goal
  • Samed Bazdar 59' yellowcard
  • Dawid Drachal 59' yellowcard
  • Samed Bazdar 72' goal
  • Jesús Imaz 76' goal
  • Guilherme Montóia 82' yellowcard
  • Apostolos Konstantopoulos 82' yellowcard
  • Leon Flach 87' yellowcard
  • Taras Romanczuk 90'+2' goal
  • goal Mbaye Ndiaye 31'
  • yellowcard Renat Dadashov 67'
  • yellowcard Michal Krol 68'
  • yellowcard Kacper Karasek 76'
  • yellowcard Jakub Labojko 76'
  • yellowcard Bright Ede 78'
Polish Ekstraklasa
Dec 14, 2025 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Ivo Rodrigues 32' yellowcard
  • Karol Czubak 44' goal
  • Marek Bartos 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jesus Imaz 32'
  • goal Afimico Pululu 39'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 21
Feb 16, 2025 4.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Miejski
  • Jaroslaw Kubicki 27' goal
  • Darko Churlinov 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Darko Churlinov 59' goal
  • Cezary Polak 67' yellowcard
  • Jaroslaw Kubicki 69' goal
  • Enzo Ebosse 86' yellowcard
  • redcard Sergi Samper 41'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 4
Sep 25, 2024 6.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Arena Lublin
  • Kaan Caliskaner 20' yellowcard
  • goal Taras Romanczuk 4'
  • yellowcard Taras Romanczuk 45'+1'
  • goal Kristoffer Normann Hansen 50'
  • yellowcard Michal Sacek 66'
  • yellowcard Adrian Dieguez 86'