Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 2
Jul 31, 2026 7.30pm
Arena Lublin

Motor Lublin vs Jagiellonia Bialystok - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Motor Lublin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Jul 26, 2026 4.30pm
Widzew Lodz 2 - 2 Motor Lublin

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 1.45pm
Jagiellonia 1 - 0 Korona Kielce

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Motor Lublin has a probability of 34.24% and a draw has a probability of 25.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.9%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Motor Lublin win is 2-1 (8.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.91%).

Result

Motor Lublin 34.24% (+0.03)
Draw 25.72% (-0.04)
Jagiellonia Bialystok 40.04% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.78% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.48% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 21.52% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 55.4% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 44.6% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 32.65% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 67.35% (-0.06)
Over 4.5 18.8% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 81.2% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Motor Lublin 25.88% (+0.02)
Draw 44.22% (-0.01)
Jagiellonia Bialystok 29.91%

Team To Score First

Motor Lublin 46.99% (+0.03)
No Goal 6.07% (-0.03)
Jagiellonia Bialystok 46.94% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 64.2% (+0.02)
Equal 8 10.79% (-0.03)
Under 8 25.01% (+0.02)
Over 9 52.62% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.58% (-0.02)
Under 9 35.8% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 41.24% (+0.06)
Under 10.5 58.76% (-0.06)

Motor Lublin Goals

Over 1.5 37.51% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 62.49% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 14.92% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 85.08% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.76% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.24% (-0.02)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5 74.34% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 25.66% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 42.9% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 57.1% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 18.61% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 81.39% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 6.73% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 93.27% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Motor Lublin 34.25%
Draw 25.71%
Jagiellonia Bialystok 40.05%
Motor Lublin
2-1 @ 8.17% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.56%
2-0 @ 5.06% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.46% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.35%
Other @ 4.63% (+0.01)
Total : 34.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.91%
2-2 @ 6.27%
0-0 @ 6.07% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.71%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
1-2 @ 8.9% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.9% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.1% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.12% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.34%
2-3 @ 3.09% (+0.01)
Other @ 6.6% (+0.01)
Total : 40.05%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 20
Feb 7, 2026 4.30pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion Miejski
  • Afimico Pululu 13' goal
  • Samed Bazdar 59' yellowcard
  • Dawid Drachal 59' yellowcard
  • Samed Bazdar 72' goal
  • Jesús Imaz 76' goal
  • Guilherme Montóia 82' yellowcard
  • Apostolos Konstantopoulos 82' yellowcard
  • Leon Flach 87' yellowcard
  • Taras Romanczuk 90'+2' goal
  • goal Mbaye Ndiaye 31'
  • yellowcard Renat Dadashov 67'
  • yellowcard Michal Krol 68'
  • yellowcard Kacper Karasek 76'
  • yellowcard Jakub Labojko 76'
  • yellowcard Bright Ede 78'
Polish Ekstraklasa
Dec 14, 2025 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Ivo Rodrigues 32' yellowcard
  • Karol Czubak 44' goal
  • Marek Bartos 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jesus Imaz 32'
  • goal Afimico Pululu 39'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 21
Feb 16, 2025 4.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Miejski
  • Jaroslaw Kubicki 27' goal
  • Darko Churlinov 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Darko Churlinov 59' goal
  • Cezary Polak 67' yellowcard
  • Jaroslaw Kubicki 69' goal
  • Enzo Ebosse 86' yellowcard
  • redcard Sergi Samper 41'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 4
Sep 25, 2024 6.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Arena Lublin
  • Kaan Caliskaner 20' yellowcard
  • goal Taras Romanczuk 4'
  • yellowcard Taras Romanczuk 45'+1'
  • goal Kristoffer Normann Hansen 50'
  • yellowcard Michal Sacek 66'
  • yellowcard Adrian Dieguez 86'