Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 1
Jul 25, 2026 1.45pm
Stadion Miejski

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Korona Kielce - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
May 23, 2026 4.30pm
Jagiellonia 1 - 0 Zaglebie Lubin

Korona Kielce

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
May 23, 2026 4.30pm
Cracovia 1 - 1 Korona Kielce

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 47.85%. A win for Korona Kielce has a probability of 26.98% and a draw has a probability of 25.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Korona Kielce win is 0-1 (7.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.2%).

Result

Jagiellonia Bialystok 47.85% (-0.05)
Draw 25.17% (+0.06)
Korona Kielce 26.98% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.39%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.9% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 24.1% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 51.28% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 48.77% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 29.51% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 70.49% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 16.72% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 83.28% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Jagiellonia Bialystok 37.99%
Draw 41.03% (+0.03)
Korona Kielce 20.98% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Jagiellonia Bialystok 56.43% (-0.01)
No Goal 6.25% (+0.04)
Korona Kielce 37.32% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 62.61% (-0.05)
Equal 8 10.93%
Under 8 26.46% (+0.06)
Over 9 51.04% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.57%
Under 9 37.39% (+0.05)
Over 10.5 39.82% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 60.18% (+0.04)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 1.5 46.26% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 53.74% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 20.22% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 79.78% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 7.47% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 92.53% (+0.04)

Korona Kielce Goals

Over 0.5 63.59% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 36.41% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 29.46% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 70.54% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 10.42% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 89.58% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.86%
Under 3.5 97.14%

Score analysis

Jagiellonia Bialystok 47.86%
Draw 25.18%
Korona Kielce 26.97%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
1-0 @ 10.6% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.91% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.43%
3-1 @ 4.76% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.77% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.03)
Other @ 7.37% (-0.05)
Total : 47.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.2% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.25% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.43% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.1% (+0.02)
Total : 25.18%
Korona Kielce
0-1 @ 7.26% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.6% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.99% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.59% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.27%
0-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.76% (-0.02)
Total : 26.97%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 28
Apr 10, 2026 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Exbud Arena
  • Martin Remacle 22' goal
  • Simon Gustafson 77' yellowcard
  • Antoñín 82' yellowcard
  • Marcin Cebula 82' yellowcard
  • Vladimir Nikolov 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Afimico Pululu 29'
  • yellowcard Dawid Drachal 74'
  • yellowcard Samed Bazdar 74'
  • yellowcard Zachary Zalewski 79'
  • yellowcard Norbert Wojtuszek 79'
  • yellowcard Sergio Lozano 85'
Polish Ekstraklasa
Oct 5, 2025 11.15am
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 30
Apr 27, 2025 11.15am
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Suzuki Arena (Kielce)
  • Konrad Matuszewski 28' yellowcard
  • Pau Resta Tell 49' goal
  • Yevgeny Schikavko 45'+6' goal
  • Mariusz Fornalczyk 59' goal
  • Wiktor Dlugosz 64' yellowcard
  • Milosz Trojak 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Afimico Pululu 24'
  • yellowcard Afimico Pululu 36'
  • yellowcard Joao Moutinho 69'
  • yellowcard Taras Romanczuk 84'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 13
Oct 27, 2024 1.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Miejski
  • Nene 10' goal
  • Jesus Imaz 51' goal
  • Darko Churlinov 67' goal
  • Tomas Silva 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mariusz Fornalczyk 34'
  • goal Adrian Dalmau 49'
  • yellowcard Yoav Hofmeister 66'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 32
May 11, 2024 4.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadion Miejski
  • Afimico Pululu 7' goal
  • Afimico Pululu 34' goal
  • Adrian Dieguez 52' yellowcard
  • Kristoffer Normann Hansen 90'+2' goal
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 15
Nov 11, 2023 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Suzuki Arena (Kielce)
  • Nono 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Nono 45'+4' goal
  • Martin Remacle 68' goal
  • Dominick Zator 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nene 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Michal Sacek 45'+3'
  • goal Jesus Imaz 56'
  • goal Jakub Lewicki 81'
  • yellowcard Jakub Lewicki 85'