Polish Ekstraklasa
Jul 25, 2026 1.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Miejski
  • Nik Prelec 89' goal
  • yellowcard Patrik Hellebrand 64'

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Korona Kielce - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
May 23, 2026 4.30pm
Jagiellonia 1 - 0 Zaglebie Lubin

Korona Kielce

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
May 23, 2026 4.30pm
Cracovia 1 - 1 Korona Kielce

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 47.87%. A win for Korona Kielce had a probability of 26.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Korona Kielce win was 0-1 (7.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result

Jagiellonia Bialystok 47.87% (+0.02)
Draw 25.16% (-0.02)
Korona Kielce 26.98%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.39%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.87% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 24.13% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 51.23% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 48.77%
Over 3.5 29.48% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 70.52% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 16.7% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 83.3% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Jagiellonia Bialystok 38.02% (+0.04)
Draw 40.98% (-0.06)
Korona Kielce 21% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Jagiellonia Bialystok 56.43%
No Goal 6.25%
Korona Kielce 37.32%

Corners

Over 8 62.51% (-0.11)
Equal 8 10.94% (+0.01)
Under 8 26.54% (+0.08)
Over 9 50.94% (-0.11)
Equal 9 11.58% (+0.01)
Under 9 37.49% (+0.11)
Over 10.5 39.72% (-0.11)
Under 10.5 60.28% (+0.11)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 1.5 46.22% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 53.78% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 20.2% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 79.8% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 7.45% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 92.55% (+0.02)

Korona Kielce Goals

Over 0.5 63.57% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 36.43% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 29.45% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 70.55% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 10.4% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 89.6% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.85% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.15% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Jagiellonia Bialystok 47.87%
Draw 25.15%
Korona Kielce 26.98%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
1-0 @ 10.62% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.44% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.77% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.76% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.03% (+0.01)
Other @ 7.36% (-0.01)
Total : 47.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 6.25%
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.09% (-0.02)
Total : 25.15%
Korona Kielce
0-1 @ 7.26%
1-2 @ 6.6%
0-2 @ 4% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.59%
2-3 @ 2.27%
0-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 26.98%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 28
Apr 10, 2026 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Exbud Arena
  • Martin Remacle 22' goal
  • Simon Gustafson 77' yellowcard
  • Antoñín 82' yellowcard
  • Marcin Cebula 82' yellowcard
  • Vladimir Nikolov 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Afimico Pululu 29'
  • yellowcard Dawid Drachal 74'
  • yellowcard Samed Bazdar 74'
  • yellowcard Zachary Zalewski 79'
  • yellowcard Norbert Wojtuszek 79'
  • yellowcard Sergio Lozano 85'
Polish Ekstraklasa
Oct 5, 2025 11.15am
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 30
Apr 27, 2025 11.15am
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Suzuki Arena (Kielce)
  • Konrad Matuszewski 28' yellowcard
  • Pau Resta Tell 49' goal
  • Yevgeny Schikavko 45'+6' goal
  • Mariusz Fornalczyk 59' goal
  • Wiktor Dlugosz 64' yellowcard
  • Milosz Trojak 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Afimico Pululu 24'
  • yellowcard Afimico Pululu 36'
  • yellowcard Joao Moutinho 69'
  • yellowcard Taras Romanczuk 84'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 13
Oct 27, 2024 1.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Miejski
  • Nene 10' goal
  • Jesus Imaz 51' goal
  • Darko Churlinov 67' goal
  • Tomas Silva 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mariusz Fornalczyk 34'
  • goal Adrian Dalmau 49'
  • yellowcard Yoav Hofmeister 66'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 32
May 11, 2024 4.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadion Miejski
  • Afimico Pululu 7' goal
  • Afimico Pululu 34' goal
  • Adrian Dieguez 52' yellowcard
  • Kristoffer Normann Hansen 90'+2' goal
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 15
Nov 11, 2023 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Suzuki Arena (Kielce)
  • Nono 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Nono 45'+4' goal
  • Martin Remacle 68' goal
  • Dominick Zator 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nene 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Michal Sacek 45'+3'
  • goal Jesus Imaz 56'
  • goal Jakub Lewicki 81'
  • yellowcard Jakub Lewicki 85'