Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 33
May 15, 2026 7.30pm
Exbud Arena

Korona Kielce vs Widzew Lodz - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Korona Kielce

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
May 8, 2026 5.00pm
Rakow 2 - 0 Korona Kielce
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Marcel Pieczek

Widzew Lodz

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
May 9, 2026 1.45pm
Widzew Lodz 3 - 1 Gdansk
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Sebastian Bergier

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Korona Kielce win with a probability of 45.07%. A win for Widzew Lodz has a probability of 28.56% and a draw has a probability of 26.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Korona Kielce win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Widzew Lodz win is 0-1 (8.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.42%).

Result

Korona Kielce 45.07% (+0.18)
Draw 26.32% (+0.04)
Widzew Lodz 28.56% (-0.32)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.89% (-0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.12% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 26.88% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 48.28% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 51.72% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 26.43% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 73.57% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 13.98% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 86.02% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Korona Kielce 33.46% (+0.25)
Draw 44.91% (-0.24)
Widzew Lodz 21.63% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Korona Kielce 52.17% (+0.06)
No Goal 7.65%
Widzew Lodz 40.18% (-0.05)

Corners

Over 8 59.42% (-0.56)
Equal 8 12.38% (+0.06)
Under 8 28.2% (+0.52)
Over 9 46.54% (-0.54)
Equal 9 12.88% (-0.03)
Under 9 40.58% (+0.56)
Over 10.5 34.44% (-0.47)
Under 10.5 65.56% (+0.47)

Korona Kielce Goals

Over 1.5 42.22% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 57.78% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 17.71% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 82.29% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 5.81% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.19% (-0.02)

Widzew Lodz Goals

Over 0.5 64.08% (-0.24)
Under 0.5 35.92% (+0.25)
Over 1.5 29.52% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 70.48% (+0.25)
Over 2.5 9.43% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 90.57% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 2.47% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.53% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Korona Kielce 45.08%
Draw 26.32%
Widzew Lodz 28.57%
Korona Kielce
1-0 @ 11.01% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.46%
2-0 @ 7.83% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 4.49% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 3.6% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.89%
Other @ 5.8% (+0.01)
Total : 45.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.42% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 7.65%
2-2 @ 5.32% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.32%
Widzew Lodz
0-1 @ 8.19% (-0.06)
1-2 @ 7.32% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 4.56% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 2.67% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.47% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.46% (-0.04)
Total : 28.57%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
Nov 23, 2025 4.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 28
Apr 11, 2025 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Suzuki Arena (Kielce)
  • Milosz Trojak 35' yellowcard
  • Nono 48' yellowcard
  • Dawid Blanik 54' yellowcard
  • Constantinos Soteriou 69' goal
  • Adrian Dalmau 80' goal
  • yellowcard Juljan Shehu 2'
  • yellowcard Peter Therkildsen 68'
  • goal Juljan Shehu 73'
  • yellowcard Szymon Czyz 90'+3'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 11
Oct 4, 2024 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Miejski Widzewa Lodz
  • Juljan Shehu 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marcel Zapytowski 12'
  • yellowcard Pedro Nuno 21'
  • yellowcard Mariusz Fornalczyk 41'
  • yellowcard Milosz Trojak 60'
  • goal Shuma Nagamatsu 80'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 26
Apr 1, 2024 4.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Miejski Widzewa Lodz
  • Imad Rondic 45'+1' goal
  • Fran Alvarez 56' goal
  • Jordi Sanchez 78' yellowcard
  • Antoni Klimek 86' goal
  • goal Yevgeny Schikavko 75'
  • yellowcard Yoav Hofmeister 90'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 9
Sep 22, 2023 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Kolporter Arena
  • Mateusz Czyzycki 2' goal
  • Yoav Hofmeister 52' yellowcard
  • Dawid Blanik 83' yellowcard
  • Piotr Malarczyk 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juljan Shehu 25'
  • yellowcard Jordi Sanchez 29'
  • goal Bartlomiej Pawlowski 42'
  • yellowcard Andrejs Cigaņiks 85'