Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Korona Kielce win with a probability of 45.29%. A win for Widzew Lodz had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Korona Kielce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Widzew Lodz win was 0-1 (8.22%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.