Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 56.92%. A draw had a probability of 22.16% and a win for Zaglebie Lubin had a probability of 20.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 2-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%) , while for a Zaglebie Lubin win it was 1-2 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.