Club Friendlies 3
Jul 3, 2026 1.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT Arena Lublin
  • Florian Haxha 5' yellowcard
  • Florian Haxha 7' goal
  • Karol Czubak 59' goal
  • Christopher Simon 67' yellowcard
  • Karol Czubak 68' goal
  • Mbaye Ndiaye 79' yellowcard
  • Florian Haxha 83' goal
  • Kacper Plichta 83' goal
  • yellowcard Filip Jakubowski 80'
  • goal 89'
  • goal Michal Smoczynski 89'

Motor Lublin vs Warta Poznan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Motor Lublin

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 23, 2026 9.30am
Motor Lublin 0 - 0 FK Vardar

Warta Poznan

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 1, 2026 10.30am
Chrobry Glogow 3 - 3 Warta Poznan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motor Lublin win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Warta Poznan had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motor Lublin win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Warta Poznan win was 0-1 (8.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%).

Result

Motor Lublin 39.04% (+6.15)
Draw 26.77% (+0.65)
Warta Poznan 34.23% (-6.78)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.71% (-0.43)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.94% (-0.52)
Under 1.5 24.06% (+0.52)
Over 2.5 52.25% (-0.51)
Under 2.5 47.75% (+0.51)
Over 3.5 29.72% (-0.56)
Under 3.5 70.28% (+0.57)
Over 4.5 16.96% (-0.19)
Under 4.5 83.04% (+0.20)

First Half Winner

Motor Lublin 29.39% (+1.74)
Draw 44.52% (+0.41)
Warta Poznan 26.09% (-2.13)

Team To Score First

Motor Lublin 46.6% (+1.08)
No Goal 7.27% (+0.59)
Warta Poznan 46.13% (-1.66)

Corners

Over 8 63.62% (-2.61)
Equal 8 10.64% (+0.14)
Under 8 25.73% (+2.45)
Over 9 52.27% (-2.48)
Equal 9 11.36% (-0.11)
Under 9 36.38% (+2.61)
Over 10.5 41.14% (-2.18)
Under 10.5 58.86% (+2.18)

Motor Lublin Goals

Over 1.5 39.8% (+4.68)
Under 1.5 60.2% (-4.68)
Over 2.5 16.84% (+3.32)
Under 2.5 83.16% (-3.33)
Over 3.5 5.61% (+1.46)
Under 3.5 94.39% (-1.46)

Warta Poznan Goals

Over 0.5 69.43% (-4.86)
Under 0.5 30.57% (+4.86)
Over 1.5 36.13% (-5.68)
Under 1.5 63.87% (+5.68)
Over 2.5 14.06% (-3.57)
Under 2.5 85.94% (+3.57)
Over 3.5 4.84% (-1.57)
Under 3.5 95.16% (+1.57)

Score analysis

Motor Lublin 39.03%
Draw 26.78%
Warta Poznan 34.22%
Motor Lublin
2-1 @ 8.78% (+0.87)
1-0 @ 8.64% (+0.86)
2-0 @ 6.04% (+1.08)
3-1 @ 3.87% (+0.65)
3-0 @ 3.13% (+0.88)
3-2 @ 3.05% (+0.34)
Other @ 5.52% (+1.49)
Total : 39.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.47% (+0.22)
0-0 @ 7.27% (+0.59)
2-2 @ 5.77% (-0.12)
3-3 @ 1.18% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.09% (-0.05)
Total : 26.78%
Warta Poznan
0-1 @ 8.18% (-0.91)
1-2 @ 8.06% (-1.06)
0-2 @ 5.19% (-1.29)
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.89)
0-3 @ 2.55% (-0.66)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.48)
Other @ 4.75% (-1.52)
Total : 34.22%