Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Warta Poznan win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Chojniczanka Chojnice had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Warta Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Chojniczanka Chojnice win was 2-1 (8.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.