Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Warta Poznan win with a probability of 42.42%. A win for Chrobry Glogow had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 28.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Warta Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Chrobry Glogow win was 1-0 (8.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.