Polish Ekstraklasa
Legia
May 23, 2026 4.30pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego
Motor Lublin
  • Jean-Pierre Nsame 32' goal
  • Kacper Chodyna 39' goal
  • Radovan Pankov 46' yellowcard
  • Juergen Elitim 49' goal
  • Jean-Pierre Nsame 55' goal
  • Samuel Kovacik 70' yellowcard
  • Mileta Rajović 70' yellowcard
  • Artur Jedrzejczyk 78' yellowcard
  • Kacper Tobiasz 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bradly van Hoeven 54'
  • yellowcard Jakub Labojko 54'
  • yellowcard Mathieu Scalet 54'
  • yellowcard Pawel Stolarski 66'
  • yellowcard Bright Ede 74'

Legia Warsaw vs Motor Lublin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Legia Warsaw

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
May 17, 2026 4.30pm
Gdansk 1 - 2 Legia
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Rafal Adamski

Motor Lublin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
May 16, 2026 1.45pm
Motor Lublin 3 - 3 Cracovia
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Karol Czubak

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 55.08%. A draw had a probability of 23.86% and a win for Motor Lublin had a probability of 21.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.91%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%) , while for a Motor Lublin win it was 1-2 (6.05%).

Result

Legia Warsaw 55.08% ▼ (-0.14)
Draw 23.86%
Motor Lublin 21.06% ▲ (+0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.99% ▼ (-0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.15% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 20.85% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 2.5 56.55% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 2.5 43.45% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 3.5 33.69% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 3.5 66.31% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 4.5 19.97% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 4.5 80.03% ▲ (+0.19)

First Half Winner

Legia Warsaw 42.5% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 38.9% ▼ (-0.06)
Motor Lublin 18.59% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Legia Warsaw 62.83% ▼ (-0.03)
No Goal 5.66% ▲ (+0.04)
Motor Lublin 31.51% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 65.39% ▼ (-0.05)
Equal 8 10.53%
Under 8 24.09% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 9 53.99% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.39% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 34.61% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 10.5 42.7% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 10.5 57.3% ▲ (+0.03)

Legia Warsaw Goals

Over 1.5 54.17% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 1.5 45.83% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 2.5 27% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 2.5 73% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 3.5 11.03% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 3.5 88.97% ▲ (+0.16)

Motor Lublin Goals

Over 0.5 59.63% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 0.5 40.37% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 26.56%
Under 1.5 73.44%
Over 2.5 8.74% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 91.26% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 2.34% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.66% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Legia Warsaw 55.08%
Draw 23.86%
Motor Lublin 21.05%
Legia Warsaw
2-1 @ 10.87%
1-0 @ 9.91% ▲ (+0.07)
2-0 @ 8.94% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.89% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.62% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 10.78% ▼ (-0.15)
Total : 55.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.04% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.66% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.52% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.25% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 23.86%
Motor Lublin
1-2 @ 6.05% ▲ (+0.04)
0-1 @ 5.27% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 21.05%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
Motor Lublin
Dec 1, 2025 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Legia
  • Karol Czubak 11' goal
  • goal Rafal Augustyniak 25'
  • yellowcard Steve Kapuadi 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Rafal Augustyniak 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Wojciech Urbanski 59'
  • yellowcard Damian Szymanski 89'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 24
Motor Lublin
Mar 10, 2025 6.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT Arena Lublin
Legia
  • Bradly van Hoeven 37' goal
  • Jakub Labojko 48' yellowcard
  • Samuel Mraz 65' goal
  • Filip Wojcik 81' yellowcard
  • Samuel Mraz 90'+10' goal
  • Samuel Mraz 90'+11' goal
  • goal Marc Gual 11'
  • yellowcard Pawel Wszolek 26'
  • goal Kacper Chodyna 55'
  • yellowcard Radovan Pankov 64'
  • goal Ryoya Morishita 71'
  • yellowcard Rafal Augustyniak 90'
  • yellowcard Vladan Kovacevic 90'+9'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 7
Legia
Sep 1, 2024 1.45pm
5
2
HT : 2 1
FT Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego
Motor Lublin
  • Claude Goncalves 4' yellowcard
  • Goncalo Feio 5' yellowcard
  • Bartosz Kapustka 30' goal
  • Pawel Wszolek 36' goal
  • Migouel Alfarela 48' goal
  • Luquinhas 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Ruben Vinagre 53' yellowcard
  • Bartosz Kapustka 69' goal
  • Rafal Augustyniak 79' yellowcard
  • Jean-Pierre Nsame 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Mateusz Stolarski 0'
  • goal Sebastian Rudol 9'
  • yellowcard Mbaye Jacques Ndiaye 40'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Rudol 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Piotr Ceglarz 56'
  • goal Mbaye Jacques Ndiaye 90'

Form Data

Gdansk 1 - 2 Legia
Nieciecza 0 - 1 Legia
Legia 1 - 0 Widzew Lodz
Lech Poznan 4 - 0 Legia
Legia 1 - 0 Zaglebie Lubin
Legia 1 - 1 Gornik
Motor Lublin 3 - 3 Cracovia
Wisla Plock 0 - 4 Motor Lublin
Motor Lublin 0 - 1 Lech Poznan
Widzew Lodz 2 - 0 Motor Lublin
Katowice 3 - 2 Motor Lublin
Motor Lublin 1 - 1 Rakow