Polish Ekstraklasa
May 10, 2026 4.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Termaliki Bruk-Bet Nieciecza
  • Radu Boboc 46' yellowcard
  • Jesús Jiménez 46' yellowcard
  • Andrzej Trubeha 75' yellowcard
  • Wojciech Jakubik 86' yellowcard
  • goal Rafal Adamski 19'
  • yellowcard Mileta Rajović 61'
  • yellowcard Ermal Krasniqi 71'
  • yellowcard Artur Jedrzejczyk 78'
  • yellowcard Wojciech Urbanski 78'

Nieciecza vs Legia Warsaw - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nieciecza

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
May 3, 2026 11.15am
Katowice 5 - 1 Nieciecza
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Kamil Zapolnik

Legia Warsaw

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
May 1, 2026 7.30pm
Legia 1 - 0 Widzew Lodz
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Rafal Adamski

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 44.03%. A win for Nieciecza had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.87%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Nieciecza win was 2-1 (7.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result

Nieciecza 30.86% (+0.01)
Draw 25.16%
Legia Warsaw 44.03% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.24%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.22% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 21.78% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 54.96% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 45.04% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 31.95% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 68.05% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 17.37% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 82.63% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Nieciecza 25.12%
Draw 40.32% (-0.03)
Legia Warsaw 34.56% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Nieciecza 43.35% (-0.01)
No Goal 5.63% (+0.01)
Legia Warsaw 51.02%

Corners

Over 8 61.58%
Equal 8 11.18%
Under 8 27.24%
Over 9 49.84%
Equal 9 11.74%
Under 9 38.42%
Over 10.5 38.57%
Under 10.5 61.43%

Nieciecza Goals

Over 1.5 34.4%
Under 1.5 65.6%
Over 2.5 12.67% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 87.33% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.89% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.11% (-0.02)

Legia Warsaw Goals

Over 0.5 76.77% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 23.23% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 44.69% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 55.31% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 20.4% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 79.6% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 6.52% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 93.48% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Nieciecza 30.86%
Draw 25.17%
Legia Warsaw 44.02%
Nieciecza
2-1 @ 7.71% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 7.33% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.62% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.35% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.15% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.88% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.82% (+0.01)
Total : 30.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.15% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.63% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 25.17%
Legia Warsaw
1-2 @ 9.73% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 8.87% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.49% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 5.31% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.69% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.48% (+0.01)
Other @ 6.45% (+0.01)
Total : 44.02%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
Nov 9, 2025 1.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT