Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 33
May 17, 2026 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Energa Gdańsk
  • Anton Tsarenko 61' yellowcard
  • Tomas Bobcek 63' goal
  • Maksym Dyachuk 88' yellowcard
  • goal Jean-Pierre Nsame 11'
  • yellowcard Samuel Kovacik 61'
  • yellowcard Rafal Adamski 61'
  • yellowcard Wojciech Urbanski 61'
  • yellowcard Antonio Colak 72'
  • yellowcard Damian Szymanski 81'
  • goal Antonio Colak 90'+3'

Lechia Gdansk vs Legia Warsaw - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lechia Gdansk

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
May 9, 2026 1.45pm
Widzew Lodz 3 - 1 Gdansk
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Tomas Bobcek

Legia Warsaw

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
May 10, 2026 4.30pm
Nieciecza 0 - 1 Legia
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Rafal Adamski

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lechia Gdansk win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Legia Warsaw had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lechia Gdansk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Legia Warsaw win was 1-2 (8.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result

Lechia Gdansk 40.11% (-0.03)
Draw 25.89% (-0.15)
Legia Warsaw 34.01% (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.25% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.74% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 22.26% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 54.79% (+0.36)
Under 2.5 45.21% (-0.36)
Over 3.5 32.62% (+0.26)
Under 3.5 67.38% (-0.27)
Over 4.5 18.48% (+0.31)
Under 4.5 81.52% (-0.30)

First Half Winner

Lechia Gdansk 29.9% (+0.44)
Draw 41.39% (-0.40)
Legia Warsaw 28.71% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Lechia Gdansk 45.88% (-0.63)
No Goal 6.23% (-0.04)
Legia Warsaw 47.89% (+0.68)

Corners

Over 8 61.23% (+1.08)
Equal 8 11.05% (-0.37)
Under 8 27.72% (-0.71)
Over 9 49.66% (+1.36)
Equal 9 11.57% (-0.30)
Under 9 38.77% (-1.08)
Over 10.5 38.54% (+1.54)
Under 10.5 61.46% (-1.54)

Lechia Gdansk Goals

Over 1.5 42.38% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 57.62% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 18.76% (+0.28)
Under 2.5 81.24% (-0.28)
Over 3.5 6.49% (+0.30)
Under 3.5 93.51% (-0.29)

Legia Warsaw Goals

Over 0.5 69.95% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 30.05% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 37.6% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 62.4% (-0.20)
Over 2.5 15.2% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 84.8% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 4.77% (+0.14)
Under 3.5 95.23% (-0.15)

Score analysis

Lechia Gdansk 40.11%
Draw 25.89%
Legia Warsaw 34.01%
Lechia Gdansk
2-1 @ 8.79% (-0.06)
1-0 @ 8.45% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 6.17% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.32% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 3.17%
3-0 @ 3.08% (+0.06)
Other @ 6.13% (+0.19)
Total : 40.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.65% (-0.20)
0-0 @ 6.23% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.7% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.36% (+0.10)
Total : 25.89%
Legia Warsaw
1-2 @ 8.15% (+0.06)
0-1 @ 7.59% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 5.13% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 3.87% (+0.11)
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 2.15% (+0.05)
Other @ 4.41% (+0.05)
Total : 34.01%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
Nov 22, 2025 7.15pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 29
Apr 21, 2025 4.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego
  • Luquinhas 45'+2' goal
  • Maxi Oyedele 88' yellowcard
  • Jan Ziolkowski 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Maksym Khlan 22'
  • goal Rifet Kapic 30'
  • yellowcard Elias Olsson 53'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 12
Oct 18, 2024 7.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Energa Gdansk
  • Bujar Pllana 19' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wojciech Urbanski 39'
  • yellowcard Ryoya Morishita 41'
  • goal Ryoya Morishita 58'
  • goal Kacper Chodyna 63'