Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lechia Gdansk win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Legia Warsaw had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lechia Gdansk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Legia Warsaw win was 1-2 (8.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.