Club Friendlies 3
Jul 11, 2026 1.00am
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego

Motor Lublin vs Polonia Warszawa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Motor Lublin

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 3, 2026 1.00pm
Motor Lublin 4 - 1 Warta Poznan

Polonia Warszawa

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 4, 2026 11.00am
Wisla Plock 3 - 0 Polonia Warszawa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Motor Lublin win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for Polonia Warszawa has a probability of 29.96% and a draw has a probability of 24.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motor Lublin win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Polonia Warszawa win is 1-2 (6.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.05%).

Result

Motor Lublin 45.55% (-0.07)
Draw 24.49% (+0.09)
Polonia Warszawa 29.96% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.85% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.28% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 18.72% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 59.9% (-0.22)
Under 2.5 40.1% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 38.08% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 61.92% (+0.17)
Over 4.5 23.38% (-0.11)
Under 4.5 76.62% (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Motor Lublin 33.38% (+0.04)
Draw 37.17% (-0.04)
Polonia Warszawa 29.46% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Motor Lublin 50.88% (-0.06)
No Goal 5.22% (+0.05)
Polonia Warszawa 43.9% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 73.24% (-0.03)
Equal 8 9.25%
Under 8 17.51% (+0.03)
Over 9 62.51% (-0.03)
Equal 9 10.73% (-0.01)
Under 9 26.76% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 51.16% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 48.84% (+0.03)

Motor Lublin Goals

Over 1.5 49.02% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 50.98% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 24.18% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 75.82% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 9.3% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 90.7% (+0.07)

Polonia Warszawa Goals

Over 0.5 68.23% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 31.77% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 36.59% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 63.41% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 14.96% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 85.04% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 5.58% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 94.42% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Motor Lublin 45.56%
Draw 24.5%
Polonia Warszawa 29.96%
Motor Lublin
2-1 @ 9.35% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.66% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 6.24% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.38% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 4.26% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.63% (-0.02)
Other @ 9.04% (-0.08)
Total : 45.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.05% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 6.36%
0-0 @ 5.22% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 0.26% (+0.02)
Total : 24.5%
Polonia Warszawa
1-2 @ 6.95% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 5.86% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 4.06%
1-3 @ 2.98%
2-3 @ 2.89%
0-3 @ 1.9% (-0.04)
Other @ 5.32% (-0.03)
Total : 29.96%