Club Friendlies 3
Jul 11, 2026 11.00am
2
1
HT :
0
1
FT
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego
-
Paskal Meyer
54'
-
Franciszek Lewandowski
77'
-
Simon Skrabb
17'
-
Ernest Terpilowski
30'
-
81'
Motor Lublin vs Polonia Warszawa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motor Lublin win with a probability of 45.6%. A win for Polonia Warszawa had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motor Lublin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Polonia Warszawa win was 1-2 (6.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
Result
Motor Lublin
45.6%
▲
(+0.06)
Draw
24.57%
▲
(+0.09)
Polonia Warszawa
29.83%
▼
(-0.14)
Both Teams to Score:
61.92%
▲
(+0.08)
Goals
Over 1.5
81.36%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 1.5
18.64%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 2.5
60.05%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 2.5
39.95%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 3.5
38.25%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 3.5
61.75%
▼
(-0.18)
Over 4.5
23.49%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 4.5
76.51%
▼
(-0.11)
First Half Winner
Motor Lublin
33.45%
▲
(+0.08)
Draw
37.11%
▼
(-0.07)
Polonia Warszawa
29.44%
▼
(-0.02)
Team To Score First
Motor Lublin
50.85%
▼
(-0.04)
No Goal
5.21%
▼
(-0.01)
Polonia Warszawa
43.94%
▲
(+0.04)
Corners
Over 8
73.24%
Equal 8
9.24%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 8
17.51%
Over 9
62.52%
▲
(+0.02)
Equal 9
10.72%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 9
26.76%
Over 10.5
51.18%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 10.5
48.82%
▼
(-0.03)
Motor Lublin Goals
Over 1.5
49.2%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 1.5
50.8%
▼
(-0.18)
Over 2.5
24.31%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 2.5
75.69%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 3.5
9.38%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 3.5
90.62%
▼
(-0.08)
Polonia Warszawa Goals
Over 0.5
68.21%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 0.5
31.79%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
36.57%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
63.43%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 2.5
15%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 2.5
85%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 3.5
5.58%
Under 3.5
94.42%
Score analysis
Motor Lublin
45.6%
Draw
24.58%
Polonia Warszawa
29.83%
Motor Lublin
2-1
@
9.36%
▲
(+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.62% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.22% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.4% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 4.25% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.64% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 9.11% ▲ (+0.08)
Total : 45.6%
1-0 @ 7.62% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.22% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.4% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 4.25% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.64% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 9.11% ▲ (+0.08)
Total : 45.6%
Draw
1-1
@
11.06%
▲
(+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.4% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 5.21% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 24.58%
2-2 @ 6.4% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 5.21% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 24.58%
Polonia Warszawa
1-2
@
6.9%
▼
(-0.05)
0-1 @ 5.82% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.02% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.9%
Other @ 5.31% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 29.83%
0-1 @ 5.82% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.02% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.9%
Other @ 5.31% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 29.83%