Club Friendlies 3
Jan 28, 2026 12.30pm
3
2
HT :
2
0
FT
Stadion Polonii im. generała Kazimierza Sosnkowskiego
-
Durmus
11'
-
Kostorz
33'
-
Dani Vega
57'
Polonia Warszawa vs Aarhus Fremad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aarhus Fremad win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Polonia Warszawa had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Aarhus Fremad win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (5.76%). The likeliest Polonia Warszawa win was 2-1 (7.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
Result
Polonia Warszawa
33.07%
▼
(-1.22)
Draw
24.08%
▼
(-0.94)
Aarhus Fremad
42.85%
▲
(+2.15)
Both Teams to Score:
56.25%
▼
(-0.23)
Goals
Over 1.5
78.66%
▲
(+0.79)
Under 1.5
21.34%
▼
(-0.79)
Over 2.5
57.67%
▲
(+0.95)
Under 2.5
42.33%
▼
(-0.95)
Over 3.5
34.65%
▲
(+0.43)
Under 3.5
65.35%
▼
(-0.43)
Over 4.5
21%
▲
(+0.43)
Under 4.5
79%
▼
(-0.44)
First Half Winner
Polonia Warszawa
28.8%
▼
(-1.24)
Draw
38.88%
▼
(-2.05)
Aarhus Fremad
32.31%
▲
(+3.28)
Team To Score First
Polonia Warszawa
41.9%
▼
(-3.32)
No Goal
6.07%
▼
(-0.47)
Aarhus Fremad
52.03%
▲
(+3.79)
Corners
Over 8
54.73%
▼
(-0.24)
Equal 8
11.07%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 8
34.2%
▲
(+0.35)
Over 9
43.71%
▼
(-0.11)
Equal 9
11.02%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 9
45.27%
▲
(+0.24)
Over 10.5
33.57%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 10.5
66.43%
▼
(-0.02)
Polonia Warszawa Goals
Over 1.5
36.03%
▼
(-1.16)
Under 1.5
63.97%
▲
(+1.16)
Over 2.5
15.33%
▼
(-0.57)
Under 2.5
84.67%
▲
(+0.57)
Over 3.5
4.88%
▼
(-0.38)
Under 3.5
95.12%
▲
(+0.39)
Aarhus Fremad Goals
Over 0.5
75.07%
▲
(+1.47)
Under 0.5
24.93%
▼
(-1.47)
Over 1.5
44.91%
▲
(+1.85)
Under 1.5
55.09%
▼
(-1.85)
Over 2.5
21.68%
▲
(+1.63)
Under 2.5
78.32%
▼
(-1.64)
Over 3.5
9.39%
▲
(+0.98)
Under 3.5
90.61%
▼
(-0.97)
Score analysis
Polonia Warszawa
33.07%
Draw
24.09%
Aarhus Fremad
42.85%
Polonia Warszawa
2-1
@
7.69%
▼
(-0.08)
1-0 @ 7.14% ▼ (-0.34)
2-0 @ 4.52% ▼ (-0.24)
3-1 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 4.61% ▼ (-0.39)
Total : 33.07%
1-0 @ 7.14% ▼ (-0.34)
2-0 @ 4.52% ▼ (-0.24)
3-1 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 4.61% ▼ (-0.39)
Total : 33.07%
Draw
1-1
@
10.7%
▼
(-0.25)
0-0 @ 6.07% ▼ (-0.47)
2-2 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.21)
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 24.09%
0-0 @ 6.07% ▼ (-0.47)
2-2 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.21)
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 24.09%
Aarhus Fremad
1-2
@
8.88%
▲
(+0.19)
0-1 @ 8.14% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 5.76% ▲ (+0.32)
1-3 @ 4.32% ▲ (+0.29)
0-3 @ 3.85% ▲ (+0.46)
2-3 @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 9.12% ▲ (+0.96)
Total : 42.85%
0-1 @ 8.14% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 5.76% ▲ (+0.32)
1-3 @ 4.32% ▲ (+0.29)
0-3 @ 3.85% ▲ (+0.46)
2-3 @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 9.12% ▲ (+0.96)
Total : 42.85%