Club Friendlies 3
Jan 17, 2026 11.00am
Stadion Polonii im. generała Kazimierza Sosnkowskiego

Polonia Warszawa vs Pogon Siedlce - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Polonia Warszawa

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 9, 2026 12.00pm
Polonia Warszawa 2 - 1 Zawisza

Pogon Siedlce

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 11, 2026 11.00am
Pogon Siedlce 0 - 4 Swit

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Polonia Warszawa win with a probability of 61.28%. A draw has a probability of 21.99% and a win for Pogon Siedlce has a probability of 16.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Polonia Warszawa win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.96%) and 2-0 (10.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.33%) , while for a Pogon Siedlce win it is 0-1 (5.49%).

Result

Polonia Warszawa 61.28%
Draw 21.99%
Pogon Siedlce 16.73%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.4% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.97% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 23.03% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 54.34% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 45.66%
Over 3.5 31.63%
Under 3.5 68.37%
Over 4.5 19.5%
Under 4.5 80.5%

First Half Winner

Polonia Warszawa 45.86% (+0.01)
Draw 37.61%
Pogon Siedlce 16.53% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Polonia Warszawa 62.35% (-0.08)
No Goal 6.21%
Pogon Siedlce 31.44% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 66.67%
Equal 8 9.92%
Under 8 23.41%
Over 9 55.85%
Equal 9 10.82%
Under 9 33.33%
Over 10.5 44.97%
Under 10.5 55.03%

Polonia Warszawa Goals

Over 1.5 56.5% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 43.5% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 29.84% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 70.16% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 12.4%
Under 3.5 87.6%

Pogon Siedlce Goals

Over 0.5 53.63% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 46.37% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 20.49% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 79.51% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 5.25% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 94.75% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.3%
Under 3.5 98.7%

Score analysis

Polonia Warszawa 61.28%
Draw 22%
Pogon Siedlce 16.74%
Polonia Warszawa
1-0 @ 11.35% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 10.96% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 10.06% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.38% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.36%
3-2 @ 3.78%
Other @ 12.39%
Total : 61.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.33%
0-0 @ 6.21%
2-2 @ 4.53%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 22%
Pogon Siedlce
0-1 @ 5.49% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.71% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.22% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.26%
2-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 16.74%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3