Europa League
Aug 11, 2026 5.00pm
2
1
ET Mikheil Meskhis sakhelobis Stadioni
  • Jemali-Giorgi Jinjolava  63' yellowcard
  • Nika Sikharulashvili 67' yellowcard
  • Vakho Bedoshvili 74' goal
  • Amiran Dzagania 84' yellowcard
  • Nika Sikharulashvili 102' goal
  • Nikoloz Dadiani 112' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sean Graham 59'
  • goal James Simpson 76'
  • yellowcard Jordan McEneff 97'
  • yellowcard Dan Bent 107'

Saburtalo Tbilisi vs Larne - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Saburtalo Tbilisi

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Aug 4, 2026 8.00pm
Larne 0 - 0 Saburtalo Tbilisi

Larne

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Aug 4, 2026 8.00pm
Larne 0 - 0 Saburtalo Tbilisi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saburtalo Tbilisi win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Larne had a probability of 30.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saburtalo Tbilisi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Larne win was 0-1 (8.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result

Saburtalo Tbilisi 44.83% ▼ (-0.07)
Draw 24.91% ▲ (+0.04)
Larne 30.25% ▼ (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.78%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.4% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 26.6% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 50.33% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 49.64% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 28.01% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 71.99% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 15.87% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 4.5 84.13% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Saburtalo Tbilisi 35.31%
Draw 41.52% ▼ (-0.03)
Larne 23.17% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Saburtalo Tbilisi 52.29% ▼ (-0.15)
No Goal 7.6%
Larne 40.11% ▲ (+0.15)

Corners

Over 8 58.86% ▲ (+0.07)
Equal 8 11.33%
Under 8 29.81% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 9 47.21% ▲ (+0.06)
Equal 9 11.64%
Under 9 41.14% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 10.5 36.23% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 10.5 63.77% ▼ (-0.04)

Saburtalo Tbilisi Goals

Over 1.5 42.41% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 57.59% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 19.38% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 80.62% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 6.98% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 93.02% ▲ (+0.02)

Larne Goals

Over 0.5 63.76% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 36.24% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 30.53%
Under 1.5 69.47%
Over 2.5 11.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 88.93% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.36% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.64% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Saburtalo Tbilisi 44.84%
Draw 24.91%
Larne 30.26%
Saburtalo Tbilisi
1-0 @ 10.36% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.93%
2-0 @ 7.29% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.42% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.16% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 6.84% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 44.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.23% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.6%
2-2 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 24.91%
Larne
0-1 @ 8.65% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.12%
0-2 @ 4.54% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.77% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 30.26%

Head to Head

Europa League
Aug 4, 2026 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Inver Park
  • Tomas Cosgrove  11' yellowcard
  • Chris Gallagher 45' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jemali-Giorgi Jinjolava  66'