Europa League
Aug 20, 2026 5.00pm
Stadion Miejski

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Saburtalo Tbilisi - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions

Saburtalo Tbilisi

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 45.56%. A win for Saburtalo Tbilisi has a probability of 28.64% and a draw has a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Saburtalo Tbilisi win is 0-1 (8.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.83%).

Result

Jagiellonia Bialystok 45.56% (+0.28)
Draw 25.8% (-0.04)
Saburtalo Tbilisi 28.64% (-0.27)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.98% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.36% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 26.64% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 49.42% (+0.14)
Under 2.5 50.58% (-0.14)
Over 3.5 27.5% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 72.46% (-0.15)
Over 4.5 15.67% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 84.33% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Jagiellonia Bialystok 33.19%
Draw 41.1%
Saburtalo Tbilisi 25.71%

Team To Score First

Jagiellonia Bialystok 49.85% (+0.03)
No Goal 7.82% (-0.05)
Saburtalo Tbilisi 42.33% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 51.57%
Equal 8 11.46%
Under 8 36.97%
Over 9 40.44%
Equal 9 11.13%
Under 9 48.43%
Over 10.5 30.46%
Under 10.5 69.54%

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 1.5 42.85% (+0.29)
Under 1.5 57.15% (-0.29)
Over 2.5 19.18% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 80.82% (-0.23)
Over 3.5 6.7% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 93.3% (-0.11)

Saburtalo Tbilisi Goals

Over 0.5 62.72% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 37.28% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 29.28% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 70.72% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 11.13% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 88.87% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 3.59% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 96.41% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Jagiellonia Bialystok 45.56%
Draw 25.8%
Saburtalo Tbilisi 28.64%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
1-0 @ 10.68%
2-1 @ 9.06% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 7.99% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.41% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 4.3% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.63% (+0.03)
Other @ 6.49% (+0.11)
Total : 45.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.83% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.82% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.8% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.14% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 25.8%
Saburtalo Tbilisi
0-1 @ 8.14% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 6.6% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 4.12% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 2.62% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.38% (-0.05)
Total : 28.64%