Europa League
Aug 27, 2026 7.00pm
Stockhorn Arena

Thun vs Lech Poznan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Thun

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Aug 20, 2026 6.00pm
Lech Poznan 7 - 0 Thun

Lech Poznan

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Aug 20, 2026 6.00pm
Lech Poznan 7 - 0 Thun

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 49.62%. A win for Thun has a probability of 27.98% and a draw has a probability of 22.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.95%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Thun win is 2-1 (6.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.26%).

Result

Thun 27.98% (+0.02)
Draw 22.37% (-0.11)
Lech Poznan 49.62% (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.03% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.05% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 15.95% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 65.11% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 34.86% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 42.96% (+0.28)
Under 3.5 57.04% (-0.28)
Over 4.5 27.78% (+0.22)
Under 4.5 72.22% (-0.22)

First Half Winner

Thun 20.22% (-0.09)
Draw 36.26% (-0.11)
Lech Poznan 43.52% (+0.20)

Team To Score First

Thun 34.24% (+0.07)
No Goal 4.03% (-0.05)
Lech Poznan 61.73% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 57.69% (-0.10)
Equal 8 10.03%
Under 8 32.28% (+0.10)
Over 9 47.42% (-0.08)
Equal 9 10.27% (-0.01)
Under 9 42.31% (+0.10)
Over 10.5 37.68% (-0.07)
Under 10.5 62.32% (+0.07)

Thun Goals

Over 1.5 36.22%
Under 1.5 63.78%
Over 2.5 15.75% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 84.25% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 5.58% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.42% (-0.02)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5 80.96% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 19.04% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 54.85% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 45.15% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 29.72% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 70.28% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 13.41% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 86.59% (-0.15)

Score analysis

Thun 27.98%
Draw 22.37%
Lech Poznan 49.62%
Thun
2-1 @ 6.76% (-0.05)
1-0 @ 4.94% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.16% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.14% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.1% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 1.82% (-0.04)
Other @ 5.06% (+0.02)
Total : 27.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.26% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 6.45% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.03% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 2.11% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.52% (-0.02)
Total : 22.37%
Lech Poznan
1-2 @ 9.06% (-0.06)
0-1 @ 6.95% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 6.52% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.59% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 4.51% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 4.1% (+0.01)
Other @ 12.89% (+0.17)
Total : 49.62%

Head to Head

Europa League
Aug 20, 2026 6.00pm
7
0
HT : 5 0
FT Enea stadion
  • Patrik Wålemark 10' goal
  • Allahyar Sayyadmanesh 20' goal
  • Patrik Wålemark 25' goal
  • Mateusz Skrzypczak 31' goal
  • Radosław Murawski 45' goal
  • Daniel Håkans 48' goal
  • Robert Gumny 79' goal
  • Radosław Murawski 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nils Reichmuth 50'
  • yellowcard T. Strannegård 70'