Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 8
Sep 12, 2026 4.30pm
Arena Zabrze

Gornik Zabrze vs Lech Poznan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gornik Zabrze

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 1.45pm
Cracovia 0 - 0 Gornik
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Peter Federico

Lech Poznan

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 4.30pm
Lech Poznan 1 - 0 Rakow
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Allahyar Sayyadmanesh

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Gornik Zabrze has a probability of 26.8% and a draw has a probability of 25.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win is 1-2 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Gornik Zabrze win is 2-1 (7.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.09%).

Result

Gornik Zabrze 26.8% (-0.06)
Draw 25.71% (+0.09)
Lech Poznan 47.5% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.98% (-0.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.97% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 20.03% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 58.32% (+0.28)
Under 2.5 41.63% (-0.33)
Over 3.5 35.45% (-0.19)
Under 3.5 64.55% (+0.19)
Over 4.5 21.11% (-0.13)
Under 4.5 78.89% (+0.13)

First Half Winner

Gornik Zabrze 22.13% (-0.11)
Draw 42.2% (+0.10)
Lech Poznan 35.67% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Gornik Zabrze 41.32% (-0.01)
No Goal 5.67% (+0.05)
Lech Poznan 53.01% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 69.43% (-0.38)
Equal 8 9.65% (+0.09)
Under 8 20.92% (+0.31)
Over 9 58.63% (-0.45)
Equal 9 10.8% (+0.07)
Under 9 30.57% (+0.38)
Over 10.5 47.54% (-0.49)
Under 10.5 52.46% (+0.49)

Gornik Zabrze Goals

Over 1.5 33.59% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 66.41% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 12.19% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 87.81% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 3.74% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.26% (+0.04)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5 79.66% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 20.34% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 50.51% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 49.49% (-0.12)
Over 2.5 24.6% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 75.4% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 9.77% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 90.23% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Gornik Zabrze 26.79%
Draw 25.71%
Lech Poznan 47.49%
Gornik Zabrze
2-1 @ 7.09% (+0.10)
1-0 @ 6.06% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 3.72% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 2.68% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.61% (+0.12)
Other @ 3.27% (-0.07)
Total : 26.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.09% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.68% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.67% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.8% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.47% (+0.04)
Total : 25.71%
Lech Poznan
1-2 @ 10.03% (+0.13)
0-1 @ 8.29% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 6.84% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 4.98% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 4.14% (+0.13)
2-3 @ 3.91% (-0.05)
Other @ 9.3% (-0.06)
Total : 47.49%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 20
Feb 7, 2026 7.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Arena Zabrze
  • Kamil Lukoszek 46' yellowcard
  • Borislav Ivanov Rupanov 46' yellowcard
  • Borislav Rupanov 46' yellowcard
  • Pawel Olkowski 72' yellowcard
  • Mathias Dahl Sauer 82' yellowcard
  • Mathias Dahl Sauer 83' yellowcard
  • Pawel Bochniewicz 89' yellowcard
  • goal Mikael Ishak 10'
  • yellowcard Mateusz Skrzypczak 46'
  • yellowcard Ali Gholizadeh 58'
  • yellowcard Luis Palma 58'
  • yellowcard Filip Jagiello 77'
  • yellowcard Yannick Agnero 82'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 3
Aug 2, 2025 7.15pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 18
Dec 6, 2024 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Arena Zabrze
  • Luka Zahovic 4' goal
  • Kamil Lukoszek 14' goal
  • Rafal Janicki 55' yellowcard
  • Rafal Janicki 59' redcard
  • Lukas Ambros 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Afonso Sousa 13'
  • yellowcard Wojciech Monka 26'
  • yellowcard Patrik Walemark 65'
  • yellowcard Radoslaw Murawski 68'
  • yellowcard Afonso Sousa 90'+3'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 1
Jul 21, 2024 4.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion MOS Poznan
  • Mikael Ishak 32' goal
  • Ali Gholizadeh 85' yellowcard
  • Dino Hotic 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Rafal Janicki 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Manuel Sanchez Garcia 50'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 24
Mar 9, 2024 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Zabrze
  • Lawrence Ennali 68' yellowcard
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 7
Sep 2, 2023 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT INEA stadion
  • Jesper Karlstrom 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Alan Czerwinski 70' goal
  • Filip Szymczak 79' yellowcard
  • goal Daisuke Yokota 45'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Musiolik 51'