Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 5
Sep 3, 2026 5.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadion Raków
  • Fran Tudor 65' yellowcard
  • Mahir Emreli 79' goal
  • Lamine Diaby-Fadiga 90'+4' redcard
  • goal Janis Antiste 6'
  • goal Rafał Janicki 34'
  • yellowcard Kacper Urbański 36'

Rakow Czestochowa vs Gornik Zabrze - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rakow Czestochowa

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 1.45pm
Rakow 2 - 5 Jagiellonia
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Mahir Emreli

Gornik Zabrze

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 4.30pm
Gornik 2 - 3 Katowice
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Peter Federico

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 49.76%. A draw had a probability of 26.31% and a win for Gornik Zabrze had a probability of 23.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.98%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%) , while for a Gornik Zabrze win it was 0-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result

Rakow Czestochowa 49.76% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 26.31% ▼ (-0.02)
Gornik Zabrze 23.93% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.84% ▲ (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.83% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 25.17% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 50.67% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 49.33% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 29.08% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 70.91% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 4.5 16.06% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 83.94% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Rakow Czestochowa 34.83% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 42.83% ▼ (-0.11)
Gornik Zabrze 22.34% ▲ (+0.11)

Team To Score First

Rakow Czestochowa 52.87% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 7.31% ▼ (-0.03)
Gornik Zabrze 39.82% ▼ (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 49.4% ▼ (-0.08)
Equal 8 12.18%
Under 8 38.42% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 9 37.78% ▼ (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.62%
Under 9 50.6% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 10.5 27.6% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 10.5 72.4% ▲ (+0.08)

Rakow Czestochowa Goals

Over 1.5 47.52% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 52.48% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 21.32% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 78.68% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 8.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 91.96% ▼ (-0.03)

Gornik Zabrze Goals

Over 0.5 60.96% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 39.04% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 27.34%
Under 1.5 72.66%
Over 2.5 8.4% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 91.6% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 2.31% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.69% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Rakow Czestochowa 49.77%
Draw 26.31%
Gornik Zabrze 23.93%
Rakow Czestochowa
1-0 @ 11.05% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.98% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.64% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.99% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.11% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.06% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 7.94% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 49.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.83% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.31% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.95%
3-3 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 26.31%
Gornik Zabrze
0-1 @ 6.82% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 6.24%
0-2 @ 3.69% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.08%
2-3 @ 1.63%
0-3 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 23.93%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 25
Mar 15, 2026 4.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Arena Zabrze
  • Lukas Sadilek 23' goal
  • Lukas Ambros 43' goal
  • 46' yellowcard
  • Ondrej Zmrzly 46' yellowcard
  • Pawel Bochniewicz 68' yellowcard
  • Lukas Sadilek 88' goal
  • Lukas Podolski 90' yellowcard
  • Mathias Dahl Sauer 90' yellowcard
  • Bastien Donio 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Patryk Makuch 46'
  • yellowcard Jean Carlos Silva 46'
  • yellowcard Adriano 46'
  • yellowcard Jonatan Braut Brunes 46'
  • yellowcard Karol Struski 46'
  • yellowcard Paweł Dawidowicz 72'
  • goal Michael Ameyaw 79'
Polish Ekstraklasa
Sep 15, 2025 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 22
Feb 21, 2025 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Rakow
  • Vladyslav Kochergin 45'+1' goal
  • Gustav Berggren 50' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Patrik Hellebrand 84'
  • yellowcard Patrik Hellebrand 84'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 5
Aug 18, 2024 7.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Zabrze
  • Rafal Janicki 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Norbert Wojtuszek 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kamil Pestka 34'
  • yellowcard Fran Tudor 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Gustav Berggren 90'+4'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 29
Apr 19, 2024 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Rakow
  • Matej Rodin 36' yellowcard
  • Giannis Papanikolaou 52' yellowcard
  • Giannis Papanikolaou 58' redcard
  • goal Sebastian Musiolik 90'+2'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 12
Oct 22, 2023 4.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Arena Zabrze
  • Daisuke Yokota 10' goal
  • Daisuke Yokota 22' goal
  • Michal Siplak 63' yellowcard
  • Dani Pacheco 70' yellowcard
  • Rafal Janicki 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adnan Kovacevic 55'
  • yellowcard Vladyslav Kochergin 59'
  • goal Ante Crnac 82'
  • yellowcard Fran Tudor 86'