Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 2
Sep 15, 2026 7.30pm
Exbud Arena

Korona Kielce vs Gornik Zabrze - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Korona Kielce

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 1.45pm
Slask Wroclaw 0 - 0 Korona Kielce
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Mariusz Stępiński

Gornik Zabrze

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 4.30pm
Gornik 0 - 1 Lech Poznan
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Peter Federico

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Korona Kielce win with a probability of 45.43%. A draw has a probability of 28.44% and a win for Gornik Zabrze has a probability of 26.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Korona Kielce win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.56%) , while for a Gornik Zabrze win it is 0-1 (8.5%).

Result

Korona Kielce 45.43% (-5.64)
Draw 28.44% (+2.46)
Gornik Zabrze 26.18% (+3.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.16% (+1.61)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.63% (+0.97)
Under 1.5 30.37% (-0.97)
Over 2.5 43.23% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 56.77% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 22.74% (+0.42)
Under 3.5 77.26% (-0.41)
Over 4.5 11.78% (-0.28)
Under 4.5 88.22% (+0.27)

First Half Winner

Korona Kielce 34.74% (-3.55)
Draw 43.03% (+0.56)
Gornik Zabrze 22.23% (+3.00)

Team To Score First

Korona Kielce 53.71% (-3.76)
No Goal 9.37% (+0.37)
Gornik Zabrze 36.92% (+3.40)

Corners

Over 8 51.54% (-10.15)
Equal 8 12.69% (+1.00)
Under 8 35.77% (+9.17)
Over 9 39.23% (-10.11)
Equal 9 12.31% (-0.05)
Under 9 48.46% (+10.15)
Over 10.5 28.34% (-9.14)
Under 10.5 71.66% (+9.14)

Korona Kielce Goals

Over 1.5 39.93% (-2.76)
Under 1.5 60.07% (+2.76)
Over 2.5 16.23% (-2.09)
Under 2.5 83.77% (+2.09)
Over 3.5 5.26% (-1.11)
Under 3.5 94.74% (+1.10)

Gornik Zabrze Goals

Over 0.5 60.66% (+4.22)
Under 0.5 39.34% (-4.22)
Over 1.5 25.59% (+3.45)
Under 1.5 74.41% (-3.46)
Over 2.5 7.7% (+1.78)
Under 2.5 92.3% (-1.77)
Over 3.5 1.89% (+0.41)
Under 3.5 98.11% (-0.41)

Score analysis

Korona Kielce 45.44%
Draw 28.45%
Gornik Zabrze 26.19%
Korona Kielce
1-0 @ 12.58% (-1.69)
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.64)
2-0 @ 8.4% (-0.99)
3-1 @ 4.06% (-0.31)
3-0 @ 3.82% (-0.76)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.17)
Other @ 5.25% (-1.10)
Total : 45.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.56% (+1.29)
0-0 @ 9.37% (+0.37)
2-2 @ 4.8% (+0.59)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.45%
Gornik Zabrze
0-1 @ 8.5% (+0.42)
1-2 @ 6.3% (+0.59)
0-2 @ 4.41% (+0.67)
1-3 @ 2.12% (+0.42)
2-3 @ 1.55% (+0.37)
0-3 @ 1.43% (+0.37)
Other @ 1.88% (+0.41)
Total : 26.19%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 29
Apr 18, 2026 4.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Zabrze
  • Ondrej Zmrzly 46' yellowcard
  • Kamil Lukoszek 64' yellowcard
  • Michal Sacek 64' yellowcard
  • Rafal Janicki 71' goal
  • Lukas Sadilek 76' yellowcard
  • Lukas Podolski 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Simon Gustafson 64'
  • yellowcard Marcin Cebula 78'
  • yellowcard Hubert Zwozny 78'
  • yellowcard Antoñín 84'
  • yellowcard Vladimir Nikolov 84'
Polish Ekstraklasa
Oct 18, 2025 1.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 34
May 24, 2025 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Zabrze
  • Ousmane Sow 43' redcard
  • Taofeek Ismaheel 55' yellowcard
  • Pawel Olkowski 88' yellowcard
  • Luka Zahovic 90'+4' goal
  • redcard Wiktor Dlugosz 77'
  • goal Dawid Blanik 79'
  • yellowcard Nono 88'
  • yellowcard Constantinos Soteriou 89'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 17
Dec 1, 2024 11.15am
2
4
HT : 0 0
FT Suzuki Arena (Kielce)
  • Yoav Hofmeister 8' yellowcard
  • Adrian Dalmau 36' yellowcard
  • Pau Resta Tell 63' yellowcard
  • Shuma Nagamatsu 63' yellowcard
  • Pau Resta Tell 81' yellowcard
  • Adrian Dalmau 83' goal
  • Mariusz Fornalczyk 87' goal
  • yellowcard Aleksander Buksa 31'
  • yellowcard Damian Rasak 46'
  • goal Kamil Lukoszek 49'
  • goal Kamil Lukoszek 59'
  • goal Lukas Ambros 78'
  • goal Taofeek Ismaheel 82'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 21
Feb 19, 2024 6.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Arena Zabrze
  • Dominick Zator 35' goal
  • Sebastian Musiolik 39' goal
  • Boris Sekulic 47' yellowcard
  • Adrian Kapralik 76' goal
  • Adrian Kapralik 78' yellowcard
  • goal Yevgeny Schikavko 68'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 4
Aug 12, 2023 4.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Kolporter Arena
  • Dominick Zator 51' yellowcard
  • Milosz Trojak 64' yellowcard
  • Marcus Godinho 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Boris Sekulic 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Pawel Olkowski 62'
  • goal Rafal Janicki 90'+1'