Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 2
Aug 1, 2026 7.15pm
Exbud Arena

Korona Kielce vs Gornik Zabrze - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Korona Kielce

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 1.45pm
Jagiellonia 1 - 0 Korona Kielce

Gornik Zabrze

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 4.30pm
Gornik 2 - 1 Slask Wroclaw

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Korona Kielce win with a probability of 50.79%. A draw had a probability of 26.07% and a win for Gornik Zabrze had a probability of 23.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Korona Kielce win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%) , while for a Gornik Zabrze win it was 0-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.

Result

Korona Kielce 50.79% (+0.01)
Draw 26.07%
Gornik Zabrze 23.14% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.63% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.72% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 31.28% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 43.38%
Under 2.5 56.62%
Over 3.5 22.43%
Under 3.5 77.57%
Over 4.5 12.09% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 87.91% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Korona Kielce 38.19% (+0.04)
Draw 42.5% (-0.01)
Gornik Zabrze 19.32% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Korona Kielce 57.46%
No Goal 8.98%
Gornik Zabrze 33.56%

Corners

Over 8 61.53% (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.73% (+0.01)
Under 8 26.74% (+0.03)
Over 9 49.16% (-0.05)
Equal 9 12.37%
Under 9 38.47% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 37.32% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 62.68% (+0.04)

Korona Kielce Goals

Over 1.5 42.58% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 57.42% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 18.27% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 81.73% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 6.32% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 93.68% (-0.01)

Gornik Zabrze Goals

Over 0.5 56.68% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 43.32% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 22.4% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 77.6% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 6.05% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 93.95% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.51% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.49% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Korona Kielce 50.8%
Draw 26.07%
Gornik Zabrze 23.14%
Korona Kielce
1-0 @ 14.22% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.56%
2-0 @ 9.28%
3-0 @ 4.54% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.34%
3-2 @ 2.55%
Other @ 6.31% (+0.01)
Total : 50.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.29% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 8.98%
2-2 @ 4.27%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.07%
Gornik Zabrze
0-1 @ 8.09% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 5.77% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.76% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.73%
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.5% (-0.02)
Total : 23.14%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 29
Apr 18, 2026 4.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Zabrze
  • Ondrej Zmrzly 46' yellowcard
  • Kamil Lukoszek 64' yellowcard
  • Michal Sacek 64' yellowcard
  • Rafal Janicki 71' goal
  • Lukas Sadilek 76' yellowcard
  • Lukas Podolski 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Simon Gustafson 64'
  • yellowcard Marcin Cebula 78'
  • yellowcard Hubert Zwozny 78'
  • yellowcard Antoñín 84'
  • yellowcard Vladimir Nikolov 84'
Polish Ekstraklasa
Oct 18, 2025 1.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 34
May 24, 2025 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Zabrze
  • Ousmane Sow 43' redcard
  • Taofeek Ismaheel 55' yellowcard
  • Pawel Olkowski 88' yellowcard
  • Luka Zahovic 90'+4' goal
  • redcard Wiktor Dlugosz 77'
  • goal Dawid Blanik 79'
  • yellowcard Nono 88'
  • yellowcard Constantinos Soteriou 89'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 17
Dec 1, 2024 11.15am
2
4
HT : 0 0
FT Suzuki Arena (Kielce)
  • Yoav Hofmeister 8' yellowcard
  • Adrian Dalmau 36' yellowcard
  • Pau Resta Tell 63' yellowcard
  • Shuma Nagamatsu 63' yellowcard
  • Pau Resta Tell 81' yellowcard
  • Adrian Dalmau 83' goal
  • Mariusz Fornalczyk 87' goal
  • yellowcard Aleksander Buksa 31'
  • yellowcard Damian Rasak 46'
  • goal Kamil Lukoszek 49'
  • goal Kamil Lukoszek 59'
  • goal Lukas Ambros 78'
  • goal Taofeek Ismaheel 82'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 21
Feb 19, 2024 6.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Arena Zabrze
  • Dominick Zator 35' goal
  • Sebastian Musiolik 39' goal
  • Boris Sekulic 47' yellowcard
  • Adrian Kapralik 76' goal
  • Adrian Kapralik 78' yellowcard
  • goal Yevgeny Schikavko 68'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 4
Aug 12, 2023 4.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Kolporter Arena
  • Dominick Zator 51' yellowcard
  • Milosz Trojak 64' yellowcard
  • Marcus Godinho 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Boris Sekulic 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Pawel Olkowski 62'
  • goal Rafal Janicki 90'+1'