Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 5
Aug 22, 2026 1.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Exbud Arena
  • Slobodan Rubežić 11' yellowcard
  • Mariusz Stępiński 19' goal
  • Kamil Jakubczyk 54' yellowcard
  • Morgan Faßbender 72' yellowcard
  • Wiktor Długosz 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Makan Aïko 28'
  • goal Karol Czubak 30'
  • yellowcard Mbaye Ndiaye 67'
  • yellowcard Ivo Rodrigues 78'
  • yellowcard Paskal Meyer 87'

Korona Kielce vs Motor Lublin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Korona Kielce

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 7.15pm
Widzew Lodz 1 - 2 Korona Kielce
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Mariusz Stępiński

Motor Lublin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Aug 16, 2026 1.45pm
Motor Lublin 1 - 0 Katowice
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Karol Czubak

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Korona Kielce win with a probability of 49.95%. A draw had a probability of 26.94% and a win for Motor Lublin had a probability of 23.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Korona Kielce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.35%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%) , while for a Motor Lublin win it was 0-1 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result

Korona Kielce 49.95% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 26.94% ▲ (+0.09)
Motor Lublin 23.11% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.62% ▼ (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.76% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 26.24% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 48.67% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 2.5 51.33% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 3.5 26.36% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 73.64% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 4.5 14.06% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 4.5 85.94% ▲ (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Korona Kielce 36.71% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 42.65% ▼ (-0.01)
Motor Lublin 20.64% ▼ (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Korona Kielce 56.12% ▼ (-0.11)
No Goal 7.85% ▲ (+0.05)
Motor Lublin 36.03% ▲ (+0.07)

Corners

Over 8 60.88% ▲ (+0.40)
Equal 8 11.22% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 8 27.9% ▼ (-0.58)
Over 9 49.16% ▲ (+0.16)
Equal 9 11.72% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 9 39.12% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 10.5 37.94% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 10.5 62.06% ▲ (+0.09)

Korona Kielce Goals

Over 1.5 46.18% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 53.82% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 20.35% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 79.65% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 7.21% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 92.79% ▲ (+0.07)

Motor Lublin Goals

Over 0.5 60.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 39.75% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 25.26% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 74.74% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 7.54% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 92.46% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 1.93% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.07% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Korona Kielce 49.95%
Draw 26.93%
Motor Lublin 23.12%
Korona Kielce
1-0 @ 11.61% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 10.35% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.7% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.12%
3-0 @ 4.49% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.58%
Other @ 7.1% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 49.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.74% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 7.85% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.28% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 26.93%
Motor Lublin
0-1 @ 6.78% ▲ (+0.04)
1-2 @ 6.21% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.65%
1-3 @ 1.91%
2-3 @ 1.5%
0-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 23.12%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 23
Feb 28, 2026 4.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Arena Lublin
  • Mbaye Ndiaye 18' goal
  • Karol Czubak 34' goal
  • Sergi Samper 72' yellowcard
  • Marek Bartos 72' yellowcard
  • Arkadiusz Najemski 72' yellowcard
  • 72' yellowcard
  • Thomas Santos 72' yellowcard
  • Renat Dadashov 82' yellowcard
  • Paskal Meyer 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Martin Remacle 46'
  • yellowcard Slobodan Rubezic 46'
  • yellowcard Stjepan Davidovic 72'
  • yellowcard Marcin Cebula 72'
  • yellowcard Marcin Cebula 73'
  • yellowcard Antoñín 73'
  • yellowcard Simon Gustafson 73'
  • yellowcard Nikodem Niski 89'
Polish Ekstraklasa
Aug 23, 2025 4.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 20
Feb 9, 2025 11.15am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Suzuki Arena (Kielce)
  • Adrian Dalmau 36' yellowcard
  • Bartlomiej Smolarczyk 56' yellowcard
  • Pedro Nuno 78' goal
  • Rafal Mamla 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Arkadiusz Najemski 51'
  • yellowcard Kacper Rosa 79'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 3
Aug 4, 2024 1.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Slavutych-Arena
  • Samuel Mraz 3' yellowcard
  • Pawel Stolarski 59' yellowcard
  • Piotr Ceglarz 81' goal
  • goal Adrian Dalmau 43'
  • yellowcard Xavier Dziekonski 80'
  • yellowcard Konrad Matuszewski 90'+3'