Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 3
Aug 8, 2026 4.30pm
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Pogon Szczecin vs Motor Lublin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Pogon Szczecin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Aug 3, 2026 6.00pm
Cracovia 0 - 2 Szczecin

Motor Lublin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Jul 31, 2026 7.30pm
Motor Lublin 1 - 2 Jagiellonia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Motor Lublin has a probability of 28.35% and a draw has a probability of 26.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Motor Lublin win is 1-2 (7.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.23%).

Result

Pogon Szczecin 44.73% (-0.09)
Draw 26.97% (+0.05)
Motor Lublin 28.35% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.02% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.66%
Under 1.5 20.34%
Over 2.5 56.94% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 43.06% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 33.87% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 66.13% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 19.37% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 80.63% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Pogon Szczecin 37.15%
Draw 39.69% (-0.03)
Motor Lublin 23.16% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Pogon Szczecin 57.23% (+0.01)
No Goal 5.95% (+0.01)
Motor Lublin 36.82% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 71.68% (-0.03)
Equal 8 9.72%
Under 8 18.6% (+0.03)
Over 9 60.51% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.17%
Under 9 28.32% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 48.84% (-0.03)
Under 10.5 51.16% (+0.03)

Pogon Szczecin Goals

Over 1.5 47.64% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 52.36% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 21.82% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 78.18% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 8.2% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 91.8% (+0.01)

Motor Lublin Goals

Over 0.5 67.5% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 32.5% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 34.34% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 65.66% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 13% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 87% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 4.08% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.92% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Pogon Szczecin 44.72%
Draw 26.97%
Motor Lublin 28.34%
Pogon Szczecin
2-1 @ 9.95%
1-0 @ 8.34% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.66% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.9% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.74%
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.03)
Other @ 7.84% (-0.03)
Total : 44.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.23%
2-2 @ 6.74% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.95% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.69% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.36% (+0.02)
Total : 26.97%
Motor Lublin
1-2 @ 7.45% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.08% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.86%
1-3 @ 2.85%
2-3 @ 2.47% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.91% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 28.34%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 19
Feb 1, 2026 11.15am
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Arena Lublin
  • Karol Czubak 3' goal
  • Mbaye Ndiaye 27' goal
  • Jakub Labojko 61' yellowcard
  • Renat Dadashov 73' yellowcard
  • Michal Krol 73' yellowcard
  • Franciszek Lewandowski 85' yellowcard
  • Kacper Karasek 85' yellowcard
  • goal Fredrik Ulvestad 36'
  • yellowcard Léo Borges 62'
  • yellowcard Karol Angielski 62'
  • yellowcard Kamil Grosicki 69'
  • yellowcard Patryk Paryzek 77'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 2
Jul 26, 2025 4.30pm
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 31
May 14, 2025 7.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
  • Leonardo Koutris 41' yellowcard
  • Kamil Grosicki 43' goal
  • Kamil Grosicki 52' goal
  • Efthymios Koulouris 76' goal
  • yellowcard Herve Matthys 37'
  • yellowcard Bradly van Hoeven 84'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 14
Nov 2, 2024 4.30pm
4
2
HT : 3 1
FT Arena Lublin
  • Michal Krol 8' goal
  • Samuel Mraz 28' goal
  • Sergi Samper 31' yellowcard
  • Michal Krol 38' goal
  • Christopher Serge Simon 41' yellowcard
  • Pawel Stolarski 48' yellowcard
  • Mbaye Jacques Ndiaye 75' goal
  • yellowcard Leo Borges 23'
  • goal Kamil Grosicki 37'
  • goal Vahan Bichakhchyan 63'
  • yellowcard Kamil Grosicki 65'