Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 1
Jul 24, 2026 7.30pm
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Pogon Szczecin vs Legia Warsaw - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Pogon Szczecin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
May 23, 2026 4.30pm
Szczecin 1 - 1 Katowice

Legia Warsaw

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
May 23, 2026 4.30pm
Legia 4 - 0 Motor Lublin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Legia Warsaw has a probability of 34.31% and a draw has a probability of 27.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Legia Warsaw win is 0-1 (8.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.14%).

Result

Pogon Szczecin 37.78%
Draw 27.91% (-0.06)
Legia Warsaw 34.31% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

54%

Goals

Over 1.5 74% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 26% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 48.95% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 51.05% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 27.32% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 72.68% (-0.06)
Over 4.5 15.01% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 84.99% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Pogon Szczecin 29.03% (-0.01)
Draw 43.54% (+0.02)
Legia Warsaw 27.43% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Pogon Szczecin 47.94% (+0.01)
No Goal 7.9% (-0.02)
Legia Warsaw 44.16% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 58.75% (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.36%
Under 8 29.88%
Over 9 47.09%
Equal 9 11.67%
Under 9 41.25% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 36.1%
Under 10.5 63.9%

Pogon Szczecin Goals

Over 1.5 37.51% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 62.49% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 14.64% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 85.36% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.65%
Under 3.5 95.35%

Legia Warsaw Goals

Over 0.5 69.15% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 30.85% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 35.16% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 64.84% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 13.55% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 86.45% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.37% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.63% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Pogon Szczecin 37.79%
Draw 27.9%
Legia Warsaw 34.31%
Pogon Szczecin
1-0 @ 9.43% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.67%
2-0 @ 6.31% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.51% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.67% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.66% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.54% (+0.01)
Total : 37.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.14% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.9% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.6%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.11% (-0.01)
Total : 27.9%
Legia Warsaw
0-1 @ 8.67% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.76% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.59%
1-3 @ 3.2% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.54% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.29% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.26% (+0.02)
Total : 34.31%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 27
Apr 6, 2026 4.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
  • N. Lawa 46' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Koutris 46' yellowcard
  • Filip Cuic 58' yellowcard
  • M. Agger 73' yellowcard
  • Jacek Samuel Czapliński 84' yellowcard
  • goal Mileta Rajović 32'
  • goal Mileta Rajović 46'
  • yellowcard Kacper Urbanski 60'
  • yellowcard Artur Jedrzejczyk 86'
  • yellowcard Arkadiusz Reca 86'
  • yellowcard Ermal Krasniqi 90'
  • yellowcard Ermal Krasniqi 90'+3'
Polish Ekstraklasa
Sep 28, 2025 4.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 26
Mar 28, 2025 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego
  • Steve Kapuadi 35' yellowcard
  • Juergen Elitim 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adrian Przyborek 21'
  • yellowcard Kamil Grosicki 83'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Koutris 90'+3'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 9
Sep 20, 2024 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
  • Alexander Gorgon 67' goal
  • Leo Borges 82' yellowcard
  • Linus Wahlqvist 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Valentin Cojocaru 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jurgen Celhaka 57'
  • yellowcard Artur Jedrzejczyk 90'+5'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 23
Mar 2, 2024 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego
  • Pawel Wszolek 49' goal
  • Josue Pesqueira 74' yellowcard
  • Tomas Pekhart 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Linus Wahlqvist 58'
  • goal Efthymios Koulouris 60'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Koutris 90'+2'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 6
Sep 27, 2023 7.00pm
3
4
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
  • Kamil Grosicki 29' goal
  • Efthymios Koulouris 51' goal
  • Alexander Gorgon 58' yellowcard
  • Vahan Bichakhchyan 71' goal
  • Pawel Stolarski 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Pawel Stolarski 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Tomas Pekhart 33'
  • yellowcard Steve Kapuadi 42'
  • redcard Artur Jedrzejczyk 45'+4'
  • goal Pawel Wszolek 69'
  • goal Juergen Elitim 78'
  • goal Steve Kapuadi 84'