Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 1
Jul 24, 2026 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
  • Léo Borges 24' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wojciech Urbanski 67'
  • goal Zoran Arsenic 90'+6'

Pogon Szczecin vs Legia Warsaw - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Pogon Szczecin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
May 23, 2026 4.30pm
Szczecin 1 - 1 Katowice

Legia Warsaw

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
May 23, 2026 4.30pm
Legia 4 - 0 Motor Lublin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Legia Warsaw had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Legia Warsaw win was 0-1 (8.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result

Pogon Szczecin 37.78%
Draw 27.91% (-0.06)
Legia Warsaw 34.31% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

54%

Goals

Over 1.5 74% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 26% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 48.95% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 51.05% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 27.32% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 72.68% (-0.06)
Over 4.5 15.01% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 84.99% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Pogon Szczecin 29.03% (-0.01)
Draw 43.54% (+0.02)
Legia Warsaw 27.43% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Pogon Szczecin 47.94% (+0.01)
No Goal 7.9% (-0.02)
Legia Warsaw 44.16% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 58.75% (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.36%
Under 8 29.88%
Over 9 47.09%
Equal 9 11.67%
Under 9 41.25% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 36.1%
Under 10.5 63.9%

Pogon Szczecin Goals

Over 1.5 37.51% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 62.49% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 14.64% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 85.36% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.65%
Under 3.5 95.35%

Legia Warsaw Goals

Over 0.5 69.15% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 30.85% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 35.16% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 64.84% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 13.55% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 86.45% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.37% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.63% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Pogon Szczecin 37.79%
Draw 27.9%
Legia Warsaw 34.31%
Pogon Szczecin
1-0 @ 9.43% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.67%
2-0 @ 6.31% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.51% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.67% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.66% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.54% (+0.01)
Total : 37.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.14% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.9% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.6%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.11% (-0.01)
Total : 27.9%
Legia Warsaw
0-1 @ 8.67% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.76% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.59%
1-3 @ 3.2% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.54% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.29% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.26% (+0.02)
Total : 34.31%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 27
Apr 6, 2026 4.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
  • N. Lawa 46' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Koutris 46' yellowcard
  • Filip Cuic 58' yellowcard
  • M. Agger 73' yellowcard
  • Jacek Samuel Czapliński 84' yellowcard
  • goal Mileta Rajović 32'
  • goal Mileta Rajović 46'
  • yellowcard Kacper Urbanski 60'
  • yellowcard Artur Jedrzejczyk 86'
  • yellowcard Arkadiusz Reca 86'
  • yellowcard Ermal Krasniqi 90'
  • yellowcard Ermal Krasniqi 90'+3'
Polish Ekstraklasa
Sep 28, 2025 4.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 26
Mar 28, 2025 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego
  • Steve Kapuadi 35' yellowcard
  • Juergen Elitim 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adrian Przyborek 21'
  • yellowcard Kamil Grosicki 83'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Koutris 90'+3'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 9
Sep 20, 2024 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
  • Alexander Gorgon 67' goal
  • Leo Borges 82' yellowcard
  • Linus Wahlqvist 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Valentin Cojocaru 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jurgen Celhaka 57'
  • yellowcard Artur Jedrzejczyk 90'+5'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 23
Mar 2, 2024 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego
  • Pawel Wszolek 49' goal
  • Josue Pesqueira 74' yellowcard
  • Tomas Pekhart 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Linus Wahlqvist 58'
  • goal Efthymios Koulouris 60'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Koutris 90'+2'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 6
Sep 27, 2023 7.00pm
3
4
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
  • Kamil Grosicki 29' goal
  • Efthymios Koulouris 51' goal
  • Alexander Gorgon 58' yellowcard
  • Vahan Bichakhchyan 71' goal
  • Pawel Stolarski 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Pawel Stolarski 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Tomas Pekhart 33'
  • yellowcard Steve Kapuadi 42'
  • redcard Artur Jedrzejczyk 45'+4'
  • goal Pawel Wszolek 69'
  • goal Juergen Elitim 78'
  • goal Steve Kapuadi 84'