Polish Ekstraklasa
Aug 16, 2026 1.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Lublin
  • Christopher Simon 64' yellowcard
  • Bartosz Bereszyński 67' yellowcard
  • Karol Czubak 86' goal
  • Marek Bartos 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marcel Wedrychowski 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Lukas Klemenz 90'+6'

Motor Lublin vs Katowice - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Motor Lublin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 4.30pm
Szczecin 3 - 1 Motor Lublin

Katowice

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 4.30pm
Katowice 0 - 0 Wieczysta Krakow

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motor Lublin win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Katowice had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motor Lublin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Katowice win was 1-2 (7.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result

Motor Lublin 44.69% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 25.75% ▲ (+0.02)
Katowice 29.56% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.92% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.04% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 23.96% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 52.5% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 47.45% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 3.5 29.61% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 70.39% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 4.5 16.5% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 83.5% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Motor Lublin 31.1% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 42.98%
Katowice 25.92% ▲ (+0.05)

Team To Score First

Motor Lublin 52.46% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 6.87% ▼ (-0.04)
Katowice 40.67% ▲ (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 59.83% ▲ (+0.08)
Equal 8 11.8%
Under 8 28.37% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 9 47.57% ▲ (+0.05)
Equal 9 12.26% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 40.17% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 10.5 35.97% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 10.5 64.03% ▼ (-0.04)

Motor Lublin Goals

Over 1.5 44.06% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 55.94% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 19.04% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 80.96% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 6.49% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 93.51% ▼ (-0.04)

Katowice Goals

Over 0.5 65.89% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 34.11% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 32.53% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 67.47% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 11.82% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 88.18% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 3.52% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.48% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Motor Lublin 44.68%
Draw 25.76%
Katowice 29.56%
Motor Lublin
1-0 @ 10.01% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.77% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.11% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.63% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.72% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 6.4% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 44.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.88% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.87% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.76% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 25.76%
Katowice
1-2 @ 7.37%
0-1 @ 7.08% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.54% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.38%
0-3 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.43% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 29.56%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
Apr 17, 2026 5.00pm
3
2
HT : 3 1
FT Stadion ul. Bukowa
  • Eman Markovic 23' goal
  • Bartosz Nowak 39' goal
  • Eman Markovic 45'+3' goal
  • Borja Galán 59' yellowcard
  • Adam Zrelak 67' yellowcard
  • Mateusz Wdowiak 86' yellowcard
  • Marcel Wedrychowski 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gasper Tratnik 23'
  • goal Karol Czubak 29'
  • yellowcard Sergi Samper 46'
  • yellowcard Arkadiusz Najemski 46'
  • goal Bartosz Wolski 49'
  • yellowcard Florian Haxha 73'
  • yellowcard Mathieu Scalet 81'
Polish Ekstraklasa
Oct 17, 2025 5.00pm
2
5
HT : 0 0
FT
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 22
Feb 24, 2025 6.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Arena Lublin
  • Piotr Ceglarz 15' goal
  • Bradly van Hoeven 21' goal
  • Bradly van Hoeven 28' yellowcard
  • Samuel Mraz 57' goal
  • Filip Wojcik 73' yellowcard
  • Pawel Stolarski 80' yellowcard
  • goal Sebastian Bergier 8'
  • yellowcard Marten Kuusk 18'
  • goal Borja Galan 51'
  • yellowcard Borja Galan 88'
  • yellowcard Filip Szymczak 90'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 5
Aug 16, 2024 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion ul. Bukowa
  • Grzegorz Rogala 12' yellowcard
  • Borja Galan 65' yellowcard
  • Marten Kuusk 84' yellowcard
  • goal Mbaye Jacques Ndiaye 42'
  • yellowcard Krzysztof Kubica 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Marek Bartos 89'