Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 3
Aug 8, 2026 7.15pm
Exbud Arena

Korona Kielce vs Legia Warsaw - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Korona Kielce

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Aug 1, 2026 7.15pm
Korona Kielce 0 - 0 Gornik

Legia Warsaw

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Aug 2, 2026 1.45pm
Legia 3 - 1 Zaglebie Lubin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Korona Kielce win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for Legia Warsaw has a probability of 33.06% and a draw has a probability of 28.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Korona Kielce win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Legia Warsaw win is 0-1 (10.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.43%).

Result

Korona Kielce 38.16% (+0.01)
Draw 28.78%
Legia Warsaw 33.06% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.88% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.16%
Under 1.5 31.84%
Over 2.5 41.66% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 58.34% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 21.81%
Under 3.5 78.19%
Over 4.5 11.28%
Under 4.5 88.72%

First Half Winner

Korona Kielce 26.89%
Draw 45.57% (+0.01)
Legia Warsaw 27.54% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Korona Kielce 46.21%
No Goal 10.21%
Legia Warsaw 43.58%

Corners

Over 8 54.76% (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.9%
Under 8 33.33% (-0.02)
Over 9 42.91% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.85%
Under 9 45.24% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 32.1% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 67.9% (-0.01)

Korona Kielce Goals

Over 1.5 33.68% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 66.32% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 12.53% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 87.47% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.8%
Under 3.5 96.2%

Legia Warsaw Goals

Over 0.5 65.07%
Under 0.5 34.93%
Over 1.5 29.94% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 70.06% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 10.13% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 89.87% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.07%
Under 3.5 96.93%

Score analysis

Korona Kielce 38.16%
Draw 28.79%
Legia Warsaw 33.06%
Korona Kielce
1-0 @ 11.31%
2-1 @ 8.02%
2-0 @ 6.99%
3-1 @ 3.35% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.64%
3-2 @ 2.06% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 38.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.43%
0-0 @ 10.21%
2-2 @ 4.46%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.79%
Legia Warsaw
0-1 @ 10.33%
1-2 @ 7.22%
0-2 @ 6.07% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.73%
0-3 @ 1.97%
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 33.06%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 19
Feb 1, 2026 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego
  • Mileta Rajovic 44' yellowcard
  • Mileta Rajović 44' yellowcard
  • Ermal Krasniqi 46' yellowcard
  • Rafal Augustyniak 56' yellowcard
  • Bartosz Kapustka 76' yellowcard
  • Patryk Kun 83' yellowcard
  • Jakub Żewłakow 83' yellowcard
  • Jakub Zewlakow 83' yellowcard
  • Antonio Colak 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Mariusz Stepinski 23'
  • yellowcard Dawid Blanik 64'
  • yellowcard Simon Gustafson 64'
  • goal Mariusz Stepinski 90'
  • yellowcard Vladimir Nikolov 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Nono 90'+2'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 2
Jul 27, 2025 7.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 19
Feb 2, 2025 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego
  • Ryoya Morishita 23' redcard
  • Steve Kapuadi 40' goal
  • Maxi Oyedele 89' yellowcard
  • Juergen Elitim 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Adrian Dalmau 22'
  • yellowcard Marcus Godinho 90'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 2
Jul 28, 2024 7.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Kolporter Arena
  • Milosz Trojak 22' yellowcard
  • Mariusz Fornalczyk 41' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Claude Goncalves 34'
  • yellowcard Pawel Wszolek 41'
  • yellowcard Jan Ziolkowski 60'
  • goal Luquinhas 74'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 22
Feb 25, 2024 4.30pm
3
3
HT : 1 2
FT Kolporter Arena
  • Yoav Hofmeister 3' yellowcard
  • Martin Remacle 45' goal
  • Yevgeny Schikavko 69' goal
  • Martin Remacle 84' yellowcard
  • Adrian Dalmau 90'+2' goal
  • Mariusz Fornalczyk 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Blaz Kramer 6'
  • yellowcard Artur Jedrzejczyk 9'
  • goal Blaz Kramer 30'
  • yellowcard Patryk Kun 55'
  • goal Marc Gual 60'
  • yellowcard Radovan Pankov 90'+4'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 5
Aug 20, 2023 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego
  • Bartosz Slisz 11' yellowcard
  • Makana Baku 26' goal
  • Artur Jedrzejczyk 37' yellowcard
  • Yuri Ribeiro 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Artur Jedrzejczyk 74' redcard
  • Kosta Runjaic 75'+75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bartosz Kwiecien 55'
  • yellowcard Dalibor Takac 59'
  • yellowcard Nono 90'+4'