Polish Ekstraklasa
Aug 2, 2026 1.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego
  • Lukasz Zjawinski 25' goal
  • Rúben Vinagre 72' goal
  • Rafał Adamski 90'+1' goal
  • goal Filip Kocaba 4'

Legia Warsaw vs Zaglebie Lubin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Legia Warsaw

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Jul 24, 2026 7.30pm
Szczecin 0 - 1 Legia

Zaglebie Lubin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Jul 27, 2026 6.00pm
Zaglebie Lubin 2 - 0 Piast Gliwice

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 62.19%. A draw had a probability of 21.46% and a win for Zaglebie Lubin had a probability of 16.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.41%) and 2-1 (11.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%) , while for a Zaglebie Lubin win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result

Legia Warsaw 62.19% (-0.02)
Draw 21.46% (-0.03)
Zaglebie Lubin 16.34% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.28% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.78% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 24.22% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 51.57% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 48.43% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 28.65% (+0.20)
Under 3.5 71.35% (-0.21)
Over 4.5 16.9% (+0.13)
Under 4.5 83.1% (-0.14)

First Half Winner

Legia Warsaw 45.54% (+0.04)
Draw 38.51% (-0.04)
Zaglebie Lubin 15.96% (+0.03)

Team To Score First

Legia Warsaw 64.9% (+0.02)
No Goal 6.04% (-0.05)
Zaglebie Lubin 29.06% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 72.64% (+0.24)
Equal 8 9.53% (-0.04)
Under 8 17.83% (-0.21)
Over 9 61.59% (+0.25)
Equal 9 11.05% (-0.01)
Under 9 27.36% (-0.24)
Over 10.5 49.94% (+0.22)
Under 10.5 50.06% (-0.22)

Legia Warsaw Goals

Over 1.5 55.42% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 44.58% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 27.62% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 72.38% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 11.1% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 88.9% (-0.06)

Zaglebie Lubin Goals

Over 0.5 52.16% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 47.84% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 18.86% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 81.14% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 4.67% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 95.33% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 0.99% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 99.01% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Legia Warsaw 62.19%
Draw 21.48%
Zaglebie Lubin 16.35%
Legia Warsaw
1-0 @ 12.77% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 11.41% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 11.02% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 6.55% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 6.28% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.07% (+0.05)
Other @ 11.09% (+0.07)
Total : 62.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.57% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.04% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.24%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 21.48%
Zaglebie Lubin
0-1 @ 5.43% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.65% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.23% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.23% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.13% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.98% (+0.03)
Total : 16.35%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 29
Apr 17, 2026 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego
  • Rafal Adamski 29' goal
  • Ermal Krasniqi 80' yellowcard
  • Arkadiusz Reca 89' yellowcard
  • Bartosz Kapustka 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jakub Sypek 62'
  • yellowcard Mateusz Grzybek 62'
  • yellowcard Damian Dabrowski 62'
  • yellowcard Mateusz Dziewiatowski 74'
  • yellowcard Michalis Kosidis 74'
Polish Ekstraklasa
Oct 19, 2025 4.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 18
Dec 8, 2024 4.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 3
FT Stadion Zaglebia Lubin
  • Igor Orlikowski 50' yellowcard
  • goal Sergio Barcia 17'
  • goal Bartosz Kapustka 26'
  • goal Ryoya Morishita 31'
  • yellowcard Sergio Barcia 45'
  • yellowcard Patryk Kun 83'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 1
Jul 20, 2024 7.15pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego
  • 21' goal
  • Jan Ziolkowski 60' yellowcard
  • Rafal Augustyniak 86' goal
  • Luquinhas 90'+3' goal
  • redcard Michal Nalepa 52'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 34
May 25, 2024 4.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego
  • Marc Gual 6' goal
  • Marc Gual 40' goal
  • Artur Jedrzejczyk 81' yellowcard
  • Josue Pesqueira 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dawid Kurminowski 37'
  • yellowcard Tomasz Makowski 71'
  • goal Marek Mroz 76'
  • yellowcard Filip Kocaba 82'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 17
Dec 3, 2023 2.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Stadion Zaglebia Lubin
  • goal Rafal Augustyniak 2'
  • goal Radovan Pankov 4'
  • goal Josue Pesqueira 64'
  • yellowcard Juergen Elitim 81'