Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 4
Aug 16, 2026 7.15pm
Stadion im. Kazimierza Górskiego

Wisla Plock vs Lech Poznan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Wisla Plock

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Aug 7, 2026 7.30pm
Wisla Krakow 2 - 1 Wisla Plock

Lech Poznan

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 4.30pm
Lech Poznan 3 - 0 Piast Gliwice

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 53.7%. A draw had a probability of 25.22% and a win for Wisla Plock had a probability of 21.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%) , while for a Wisla Plock win it was 2-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result

Wisla Plock 21.08% ▼ (-1.75)
Draw 25.22% ▼ (-0.65)
Lech Poznan 53.7% ▲ (+2.34)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.92% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.84% ▲ (+1.02)
Under 1.5 24.16% ▼ (-1.02)
Over 2.5 52.24% ▲ (+1.28)
Under 2.5 47.76% ▼ (-1.28)
Over 3.5 28.81% ▲ (+1.30)
Under 3.5 71.19% ▼ (-1.30)
Over 4.5 16.64% ▲ (+1.23)
Under 4.5 83.36% ▼ (-1.22)

First Half Winner

Wisla Plock 20.11% ▲ (+0.74)
Draw 39.26% ▼ (-2.00)
Lech Poznan 40.63% ▲ (+1.28)

Team To Score First

Wisla Plock 31.93% ▼ (-2.36)
No Goal 7.72% ▲ (+0.18)
Lech Poznan 60.35% ▲ (+2.18)

Corners

Over 8 61.85% ▲ (+1.21)
Equal 8 10.88% ▼ (-0.37)
Under 8 27.27% ▼ (-0.84)
Over 9 50.43% ▲ (+1.48)
Equal 9 11.42% ▼ (-0.28)
Under 9 38.14% ▼ (-1.22)
Over 10.5 39.41% ▲ (+1.61)
Under 10.5 60.59% ▼ (-1.61)

Wisla Plock Goals

Over 1.5 24.44% ▼ (-1.21)
Under 1.5 75.56% ▲ (+1.22)
Over 2.5 7.18% ▼ (-0.58)
Under 2.5 92.82% ▲ (+0.57)
Over 3.5 1.67% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 3.5 98.33% ▲ (+0.18)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5 80.46% ▲ (+0.95)
Under 0.5 19.54% ▼ (-0.95)
Over 1.5 50.89% ▲ (+2.75)
Under 1.5 49.11% ▼ (-2.75)
Over 2.5 24.76% ▲ (+2.29)
Under 2.5 75.24% ▼ (-2.29)
Over 3.5 9.93% ▲ (+1.54)
Under 3.5 90.07% ▼ (-1.55)

Score analysis

Wisla Plock 21.08%
Draw 25.21%
Lech Poznan 53.69%
Wisla Plock
2-1 @ 6.21% ▼ (-0.31)
1-0 @ 5.9% ▼ (-0.67)
2-0 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.32)
3-1 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.20)
3-0 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.17)
Total : 21.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.17% ▼ (-0.70)
0-0 @ 7.72% ▲ (+0.18)
2-2 @ 5.26% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.18% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 25.21%
Lech Poznan
0-1 @ 10.52% ▼ (-0.60)
1-2 @ 9.88% ▼ (-0.25)
0-2 @ 9.59% ▲ (+0.76)
0-3 @ 5.77% ▲ (+0.58)
1-3 @ 5.24% ▲ (+0.29)
2-3 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 9.75% ▲ (+1.56)
Total : 53.69%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
May 23, 2026 4.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Enea stadion
  • Luis Palma 30' goal
  • Radoslaw Murawski 57' yellowcard
  • Filip Jagiello 57' yellowcard
  • Daniel Håkans 57' yellowcard
  • Patrik Wålemark 59' goal
  • Robert Gumny 66' yellowcard
  • Yannick Agnero 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dominik Sarapata 46'
  • yellowcard 46'
  • yellowcard Giannis Niarchos 46'
  • goal Zan Rogelj 48'
  • yellowcard Nemanja Mijuskovic 65'
  • yellowcard Nikodem Rogowski 78'
  • yellowcard Lukasz Sekulski 78'
  • yellowcard Iban Salvador 86'
  • yellowcard Iban Salvador 87'
  • goal Marcin Kaminski 90'+5'
Polish Ekstraklasa
Nov 30, 2025 7.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Marcus Haglind-Sangré 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mikael Ishak 74'
  • yellowcard Filip Jagiello 84'