Polish Ekstraklasa
Gameweek
12
Oct 25, 2026 4.30pm
Legia Warsaw vs Lech Poznan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Lech Poznan has a probability of 31.53% and a draw has a probability of 25.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win is 1-2 (7.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.65%).
Result
Legia Warsaw
43.05%
▼
(-0.04)
Draw
25.42%
▲
(+0.09)
Lech Poznan
31.53%
▼
(-0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
59.78%
▼
(-0.04)
Goals
Over 1.5
80.83%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
19.17%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 2.5
58.72%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 2.5
41.28%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 3.5
35.29%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 3.5
64.71%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 4.5
20.8%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 4.5
79.2%
▲
(+0.05)
First Half Winner
Legia Warsaw
35.93%
▼
(-0.08)
Draw
37.32%
▲
(+0.12)
Lech Poznan
26.75%
▼
(-0.04)
Team To Score First
Legia Warsaw
53.68%
▲
(+0.08)
No Goal
5%
▲
(+0.04)
Lech Poznan
41.32%
▼
(-0.11)
Corners
Over 8
56.4%
▲
(+0.50)
Equal 8
11.32%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 8
32.28%
▼
(-0.52)
Over 9
44.99%
▲
(+0.43)
Equal 9
11.41%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 9
43.6%
▼
(-0.50)
Over 10.5
34.41%
▲
(+0.33)
Under 10.5
65.59%
▼
(-0.33)
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 1.5
46.94%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
53.06%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 2.5
21.22%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
78.78%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
8.31%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 3.5
91.69%
▲
(+0.04)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5
69.3%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
30.7%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
37.05%
Under 1.5
62.95%
Over 2.5
15.9%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
84.1%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
5.15%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 3.5
94.85%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Legia Warsaw
43.04%
Draw
25.42%
Lech Poznan
31.54%
Legia Warsaw
2-1
@
9.82%
1-0 @ 7.87% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.43%
3-1 @ 4.48%
3-0 @ 3.59%
3-2 @ 3.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 7.81% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 43.04%
1-0 @ 7.87% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.43%
3-1 @ 4.48%
3-0 @ 3.59%
3-2 @ 3.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 7.81% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 43.04%
Draw
1-1
@
11.65%
▲
(+0.05)
2-2 @ 6.47% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.8%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 25.42%
2-2 @ 6.47% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.8%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 25.42%
Lech Poznan
1-2
@
7.61%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.3%
0-2 @ 4.03% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.55%
2-3 @ 3% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 31.54%
0-1 @ 6.3%
0-2 @ 4.03% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.55%
2-3 @ 3% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 31.54%
Head to Head
Polish Ekstraklasa
Gameweek
30
-
Ali Gholizadeh
3'
-
Mikael Ishak
31'
-
Michal Gurgul
38'
-
Mikael Ishak
42'
-
Luis Palma
65'
-
Filip Jagiello
65'
-
Daniel Håkans
65'
-
65'
-
Radoslaw Murawski
78'
-
Hubert Janyszka
86'
-
Artur Jedrzejczyk
22'
-
Bartosz Kapustka
46'
-
Wojciech Urbanski
64'
-
Wojciech Urbanski
65'
-
65'
-
Samuel Kovacik
65'
-
Samuel Kovacik
66'
-
Arkadiusz Reca
72'
Polish Ekstraklasa
Polish Ekstraklasa
Gameweek
32
May 11, 2025 4.30pm
0
1
HT :
0
0
FT
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego
-
Ruben Vinagre
45'+8'
-
Juergen Elitim
90'+2'
-
Michal Gurgul
32'
-
Dino Hotic
45'+10'
-
Ali Gholizadeh
77'
Polish Ekstraklasa
Gameweek
15
-
Ali Gholizadeh
4'
-
Antoni Kozubal
38'
-
Michal Gurgul
45'+3'
-
Afonso Sousa
50'
-
Mikael Ishak
58'
-
Patrik Walemark
65'
-
Afonso Sousa
69'
-
Radoslaw Murawski
73'
-
Marc Gual
28'
-
Rafal Augustyniak
45'+2'
-
Luquinhas
50'
-
Wojciech Urbanski
77'
-
Jurgen Celhaka
90'+1'
-
Jurgen Celhaka
90'+1'
Polish Ekstraklasa
Gameweek
32
-
Barry Douglas
13'
-
Elias Andersson
66'
-
Joel Pereira
83'
-
Bartosz Salamon
88'
-
Miha Blazic
15'
(OG)
-
Bartosz Salamon
45'
(OG)
-
Yuri Ribeiro
55'
-
Artur Jedrzejczyk
64'
Polish Ekstraklasa
Gameweek
15
Nov 12, 2023 4.30pm
0
0
HT :
0
0
FT
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego
-
Tomas Pekhart
14'
-
Steve Kapuadi
87'
-
Blaz Kramer
90'+1'
-
Radoslaw Murawski
64'
-
Mikael Ishak
73'