Europa League Gameweek 3
Oct 22, 2026 5.45pm
Enea stadion

Lech Poznan vs Sunderland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lech Poznan

All competitions

Sunderland

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 16, 2026 8.00pm
Sunderland 1 - 0 AZ

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Sunderland has a probability of 33.67% and a draw has a probability of 22.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.61%) and 2-0 (5.39%). The likeliest Sunderland win is 1-2 (7.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.73%).

Result

Lech Poznan 44.27% ▲ (+2.42)
Draw 22.07% ▼ (-0.45)
Sunderland 33.67% ▼ (-1.95)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.65% ▲ (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.31% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 1.5 16.69% ▼ (-0.35)
Over 2.5 63.74% ▲ (+1.18)
Under 2.5 36.26% ▼ (-1.18)
Over 3.5 41.26% ▲ (+1.23)
Under 3.5 58.74% ▼ (-1.23)
Over 4.5 26.77% ▲ (+1.63)
Under 4.5 73.23% ▼ (-1.63)

First Half Winner

Lech Poznan 39.36% ▲ (+1.90)
Draw 38.53% ▲ (+0.33)
Sunderland 22.1% ▼ (-2.24)

Team To Score First

Lech Poznan 58.35% ▲ (+1.04)
No Goal 4.11% ▲ (+0.03)
Sunderland 37.54% ▼ (-1.07)

Corners

Over 8 62.03% ▼ (-1.37)
Equal 8 10.34% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 8 27.63% ▲ (+1.11)
Over 9 51.15% ▼ (-1.54)
Equal 9 10.89% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 9 37.97% ▲ (+1.37)
Over 10.5 40.56% ▼ (-1.59)
Under 10.5 59.44% ▲ (+1.59)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 1.5 48.94% ▲ (+2.05)
Under 1.5 51.06% ▼ (-2.05)
Over 2.5 25.86% ▲ (+2.77)
Under 2.5 74.14% ▼ (-2.77)
Over 3.5 11.55% ▲ (+2.03)
Under 3.5 88.45% ▼ (-2.02)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5 68.6% ▼ (-2.36)
Under 0.5 31.4% ▲ (+2.36)
Over 1.5 39.83% ▼ (-1.63)
Under 1.5 60.17% ▲ (+1.63)
Over 2.5 17.67% ▼ (-1.02)
Under 2.5 82.33% ▲ (+1.02)
Over 3.5 6.82% ▼ (-0.48)
Under 3.5 93.18% ▲ (+0.49)

Score analysis

Lech Poznan 44.26%
Draw 22.06%
Sunderland 33.65%
Lech Poznan
2-1 @ 8.43% ▼ (-0.10)
1-0 @ 6.61% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.39% ▼ (-0.30)
3-1 @ 4.67% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 4.01% ▲ (+0.59)
3-2 @ 3.9% ▲ (+0.23)
Other @ 11.25% ▲ (+2.03)
Total : 44.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.73% ▼ (-0.22)
2-2 @ 6.19% ▼ (-0.21)
0-0 @ 4.11% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.3% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 22.06%
Sunderland
1-2 @ 7.6% ▼ (-0.33)
0-1 @ 5.94% ▼ (-0.38)
0-2 @ 4.47% ▼ (-0.30)
1-3 @ 3.62% ▼ (-0.16)
2-3 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.13)
0-3 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.23)
Other @ 6.52% ▼ (-0.48)
Total : 33.65%