Europa League Gameweek 2
Oct 15, 2026 5.45pm
Enea stadion

Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lech Poznan

All competitions

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 16, 2026 8.00pm
B. Leverkusen 2 - 0 Celje

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Lech Poznan has a probability of 37.19% and a draw has a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.61%) and 0-2 (5.3%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win is 2-1 (8.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.37%).

Result

Lech Poznan 37.19% ▼ (-2.22)
Draw 22.1% ▼ (-0.81)
Bayer Leverkusen 40.71% ▲ (+3.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.49% ▲ (+1.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.73% ▲ (+0.75)
Under 1.5 16.27% ▼ (-0.75)
Over 2.5 64.6% ▲ (+0.93)
Under 2.5 35.4% ▼ (-0.93)
Over 3.5 41.45% ▲ (+1.09)
Under 3.5 58.55% ▼ (-1.09)
Over 4.5 26.77% ▲ (+1.24)
Under 4.5 73.23% ▼ (-1.24)

First Half Winner

Lech Poznan 28.43% ▼ (-0.84)
Draw 37.39% ▲ (+0.64)
Bayer Leverkusen 34.18% ▲ (+0.21)

Team To Score First

Lech Poznan 50.33% ▲ (+0.47)
No Goal 3.96% ▼ (-0.22)
Bayer Leverkusen 45.71% ▼ (-0.25)

Corners

Over 8 66.53% ▲ (+3.01)
Equal 8 10.71% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 8 22.76% ▼ (-2.82)
Over 9 54.79% ▲ (+2.90)
Equal 9 11.74% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 9 33.47% ▼ (-3.01)
Over 10.5 43.07% ▲ (+2.54)
Under 10.5 56.93% ▼ (-2.54)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 1.5 43.98% ▼ (-1.65)
Under 1.5 56.02% ▲ (+1.65)
Over 2.5 20.92% ▼ (-1.01)
Under 2.5 79.08% ▲ (+1.02)
Over 3.5 8.47% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 3.5 91.53% ▲ (+0.35)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 74.83% ▲ (+1.96)
Under 0.5 25.17% ▼ (-1.95)
Over 1.5 46.39% ▲ (+2.69)
Under 1.5 53.61% ▼ (-2.69)
Over 2.5 22.73% ▲ (+2.43)
Under 2.5 77.27% ▼ (-2.44)
Over 3.5 9.37% ▲ (+1.17)
Under 3.5 90.63% ▼ (-1.18)

Score analysis

Lech Poznan 37.2%
Draw 22.1%
Bayer Leverkusen 40.71%
Lech Poznan
2-1 @ 8.49% ▼ (-0.19)
1-0 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.46)
2-0 @ 4.45% ▼ (-0.44)
3-1 @ 3.97% ▼ (-0.24)
3-2 @ 3.52% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 2.93% ▼ (-0.44)
Other @ 8.13% ▼ (-0.36)
Total : 37.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.37% ▼ (-0.28)
2-2 @ 6.4% ▼ (-0.42)
0-0 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.22)
3-3 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.34% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 22.1%
Bayer Leverkusen
1-2 @ 8.44% ▲ (+0.25)
0-1 @ 6.61% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 5.3% ▲ (+0.51)
1-3 @ 4.31% ▲ (+0.51)
2-3 @ 3.72% ▲ (+0.43)
0-3 @ 3.3% ▲ (+0.25)
Other @ 9.03% ▲ (+1.15)
Total : 40.71%