Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Sep 20, 2026 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT BayArena
  • Patrik Schick 44' goal
  • Miguel Gutiérrez 57' goal
  • Edmond Tapsoba  81' yellowcard
  • Edmond Tapsoba  82' yellowcard
  • Afonso Moreira 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Antonio Nusa 11'
  • yellowcard Neil El Aynaoui 74'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Henrichs 90'+1'

Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 2.30pm
Augsburg 2 - 2 B. Leverkusen
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Patrik Schick

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 2.30pm
RB Leipzig 5 - 0 Hamburger SV
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Ridle Baku

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 61.87%. A draw had a probability of 19.64% and a win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 18.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 1-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.93%) , while for a RB Leipzig win it was 1-2 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result

Bayer Leverkusen 61.87% ▼ (-0.15)
Draw 19.64% ▲ (+0.07)
RB Leipzig 18.52% ▲ (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.72% ▲ (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.62% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 17.38% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 62.63% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 2.5 37.37% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 3.5 39.47% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 60.53% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 26.27% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 4.5 73.73% ▼ (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Bayer Leverkusen 45.47% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 34.53% ▼ (-0.13)
RB Leipzig 20% ▲ (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Bayer Leverkusen 60.37% ▲ (+0.08)
No Goal 4.35% ▲ (+0.02)
RB Leipzig 35.28% ▼ (-0.09)

Corners

Over 8 52.3% ▼ (-0.25)
Equal 8 11.82% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 8 35.88% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 9 40.78% ▼ (-0.18)
Equal 9 11.52% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 9 47.7% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 10.5 30.46% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 10.5 69.54% ▲ (+0.08)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 1.5 61.23% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 1.5 38.77% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 2.5 35.33% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 64.67% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 17.47% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 82.53% ▼ (-0.02)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 54.82% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 45.18% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 24.25% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 75.75% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 7.75% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 92.25% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.29% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 97.71% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 61.87%
Draw 19.65%
RB Leipzig 18.52%
Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 10.59% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 8.66% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 8.62% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.6% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 6.24% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 3.81%
Other @ 17.35% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 61.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.93% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.04%
0-0 @ 4.35% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 19.65%
RB Leipzig
1-2 @ 5.26% ▼ (-0.03)
0-1 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.56%
0-3 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 18.52%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
May 2, 2026 5.30pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT BayArena
  • Patrik Schick 25' goal
  • Nathan Tella 45' goal
  • Patrik Schick 76' goal
  • Arthur 77' yellowcard
  • Ernest Poku 77' yellowcard
  • Ernest Poku 78' yellowcard
  • Ezequiel Fernández 85' yellowcard
  • Malik Tillman 85' yellowcard
  • Patrik Schick 89' goal
  • Christian Kofane 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brajan Gruda 46'
  • yellowcard Castello Lukeba 46'
  • yellowcard Conrad Harder 65'
  • yellowcard Assan Ouédraogo 65'
  • goal Christoph Baumgartner 80'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Henrichs 84'
Bundesliga
Dec 20, 2025 5.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Xaver Schlager 35' goal
  • Castello Lukeba 90'+11' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Arthur 30'
  • goal Martin Terrier 40'
  • goal Patrik Schick 44'
  • yellowcard Axel Tape-Kobrissa 87'
  • goal Montrell Amare Culbreath 90'+7'
Bundesliga Gameweek 19
Jan 25, 2025 2.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Red Bull Arena
  • David Raum 41' goal
  • Xavi Simons 79' yellowcard
  • Edmond Tapsoba 85' goal
  • Christoph Baumgartner 88' yellowcard
  • goal Patrik Schick 18'
  • goal Aleix Garcia 36'
  • yellowcard Robert Andrich 40'
  • yellowcard Edmond Tapsoba 42'
Bundesliga Gameweek 2
Aug 31, 2024 5.30pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT BayArena
  • Victor Boniface 12' yellowcard
  • Jeremie Frimpong 18' yellowcard
  • Jeremie Frimpong 39' goal
  • Alex Grimaldo 45' goal
  • Edmond Tapsoba 82' yellowcard
  • redcard Marco Rose 26'
  • yellowcard Marco Rose 26'
  • goal Kevin Kampl 45'+7'
  • goal Lois Openda 57'
  • yellowcard Lukas Klostermann 61'
  • goal Lois Openda 80'
Bundesliga Gameweek 18
Jan 20, 2024 5.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT Trainingszentrum RB Leipzig Platz 1
  • Xavi Simons 7' goal
  • Lois Openda 56' goal
  • Xavi Simons 71' yellowcard
  • Xaver Schlager 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonathan Tah 12'
  • yellowcard Xabi Alonso 34'
  • yellowcard Josip Stanisic 38'
  • goal Nathan Tella 47'
  • goal Jonathan Tah 63'
  • yellowcard Florian Wirtz 66'
  • goal Piero Hincapie 90'+1'
Bundesliga Gameweek 1
Aug 19, 2023 2.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT BayArena
  • Jeremie Frimpong 24' goal
  • Jonathan Tah 35' goal
  • Florian Wirtz 64' goal
  • Victor Okoh Boniface 69' yellowcard
  • goal Dani Olmo 39'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Seiwald 62'
  • goal Lois Openda 71'
  • yellowcard Castello Lukeba 81'