Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Sep 20, 2026 2.30pm
BayArena

Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 2.30pm
Augsburg 2 - 2 B. Leverkusen
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Patrik Schick

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 2.30pm
RB Leipzig 5 - 0 Hamburger SV
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Ridle Baku

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 52.61%. A win for RB Leipzig has a probability of 24.91% and a draw has a probability of 22.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win is 1-2 (5.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.79%).

Result

Bayer Leverkusen 52.61%
Draw 22.44%
RB Leipzig 24.91%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.81%

Goals

Over 1.5 80.21%
Under 1.5 19.79%
Over 2.5 59.7%
Under 2.5 40.3%
Over 3.5 38.02%
Under 3.5 61.98%
Over 4.5 24.35%
Under 4.5 75.65%

First Half Winner

Bayer Leverkusen 39.97%
Draw 36.24%
RB Leipzig 23.79%

Team To Score First

Bayer Leverkusen 58.03%
No Goal 5.41%
RB Leipzig 36.56%

Corners

Over 8 54.86%
Equal 8 11.79%
Under 8 33.35%
Over 9 43.13%
Equal 9 11.73%
Under 9 45.14%
Over 10.5 32.42%
Under 10.5 67.58%

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 1.5 53.33%
Under 1.5 46.67%
Over 2.5 28.55%
Under 2.5 71.45%
Over 3.5 12.87%
Under 3.5 87.13%

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 60.9%
Under 0.5 39.1%
Over 1.5 30.41%
Under 1.5 69.59%
Over 2.5 11.86%
Under 2.5 88.14%
Over 3.5 4.13%
Under 3.5 95.87%

Score analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 52.61%
Draw 22.44%
RB Leipzig 24.92%
Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 9.53%
1-0 @ 8.76%
2-0 @ 7.46%
3-1 @ 5.58%
3-0 @ 4.78%
3-2 @ 3.84%
Other @ 12.66%
Total : 52.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.79%
2-2 @ 5.55%
0-0 @ 5.41%
3-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.44%
RB Leipzig
1-2 @ 5.91%
0-1 @ 5.59%
0-2 @ 3.25%
1-3 @ 2.54%
2-3 @ 2.24%
0-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 24.92%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
May 2, 2026 5.30pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT BayArena
  • Patrik Schick 25' goal
  • Nathan Tella 45' goal
  • Patrik Schick 76' goal
  • Arthur 77' yellowcard
  • Ernest Poku 77' yellowcard
  • Ernest Poku 78' yellowcard
  • Ezequiel Fernández 85' yellowcard
  • Malik Tillman 85' yellowcard
  • Patrik Schick 89' goal
  • Christian Kofane 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brajan Gruda 46'
  • yellowcard Castello Lukeba 46'
  • yellowcard Conrad Harder 65'
  • yellowcard Assan Ouédraogo 65'
  • goal Christoph Baumgartner 80'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Henrichs 84'
Bundesliga
Dec 20, 2025 5.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Xaver Schlager 35' goal
  • Castello Lukeba 90'+11' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Arthur 30'
  • goal Martin Terrier 40'
  • goal Patrik Schick 44'
  • yellowcard Axel Tape-Kobrissa 87'
  • goal Montrell Amare Culbreath 90'+7'
Bundesliga Gameweek 19
Jan 25, 2025 2.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Red Bull Arena
  • David Raum 41' goal
  • Xavi Simons 79' yellowcard
  • Edmond Tapsoba 85' goal
  • Christoph Baumgartner 88' yellowcard
  • goal Patrik Schick 18'
  • goal Aleix Garcia 36'
  • yellowcard Robert Andrich 40'
  • yellowcard Edmond Tapsoba 42'
Bundesliga Gameweek 2
Aug 31, 2024 5.30pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT BayArena
  • Victor Boniface 12' yellowcard
  • Jeremie Frimpong 18' yellowcard
  • Jeremie Frimpong 39' goal
  • Alex Grimaldo 45' goal
  • Edmond Tapsoba 82' yellowcard
  • redcard Marco Rose 26'
  • yellowcard Marco Rose 26'
  • goal Kevin Kampl 45'+7'
  • goal Lois Openda 57'
  • yellowcard Lukas Klostermann 61'
  • goal Lois Openda 80'
Bundesliga Gameweek 18
Jan 20, 2024 5.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT Trainingszentrum RB Leipzig Platz 1
  • Xavi Simons 7' goal
  • Lois Openda 56' goal
  • Xavi Simons 71' yellowcard
  • Xaver Schlager 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonathan Tah 12'
  • yellowcard Xabi Alonso 34'
  • yellowcard Josip Stanisic 38'
  • goal Nathan Tella 47'
  • goal Jonathan Tah 63'
  • yellowcard Florian Wirtz 66'
  • goal Piero Hincapie 90'+1'
Bundesliga Gameweek 1
Aug 19, 2023 2.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT BayArena
  • Jeremie Frimpong 24' goal
  • Jonathan Tah 35' goal
  • Florian Wirtz 64' goal
  • Victor Okoh Boniface 69' yellowcard
  • goal Dani Olmo 39'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Seiwald 62'
  • goal Lois Openda 71'
  • yellowcard Castello Lukeba 81'