Bundesliga
Stuttgart
May 9, 2026 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT MHPArena
B. Leverkusen
  • Ermedin Demirovic 5' goal
  • Maximilian Mittelstädt 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Maximilian Mittelstädt 45'+7' yellowcard
  • Deniz Undav 58' goal
  • Tiago Tomás 68' yellowcard
  • Tiago Tomás 69' yellowcard
  • Bilal El Khannouss 78' yellowcard
  • Luca Jaquez 78' yellowcard
  • Lorenz Assignon 87' yellowcard
  • Josha Vagnoman 87' yellowcard
  • Josha Vagnoman 88' yellowcard
  • goal Aleix García 1'
  • yellowcard Arthur 65'
  • yellowcard Malik Tillman 65'
  • yellowcard Ernest Poku 78'
  • yellowcard Eliesse Ben Seghir 86'

Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 2.30pm
Hoffenheim 3 - 3 Stuttgart
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Deniz Undav

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 5.30pm
B. Leverkusen 4 - 1 RB Leipzig
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Patrik Schick

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.36%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (8.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result

Stuttgart 40.46% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 23.87% ▲ (+0.09)
Bayer Leverkusen 35.67% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.46% ▲ (+0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.28% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 18.72% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 59.64% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 2.5 40.36% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 3.5 37.66% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 62.34% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 22.74% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 4.5 77.26% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Stuttgart 40.61% ▼ (-0.11)
Draw 37.35% ▲ (+0.21)
Bayer Leverkusen 22.04% ▼ (-0.09)

Team To Score First

Stuttgart 56.92% ▼ (-0.08)
No Goal 4.71% ▲ (+0.04)
Bayer Leverkusen 38.37% ▲ (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 61.72% ▲ (+0.76)
Equal 8 11.53% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 8 26.75% ▼ (-0.70)
Over 9 49.59% ▲ (+0.77)
Equal 9 12.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 38.28% ▼ (-0.76)
Over 10.5 37.95% ▲ (+0.70)
Under 10.5 62.05% ▼ (-0.70)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 1.5 44.73% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 55.27% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 20.96% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 79.04% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 8.37% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 91.63% ▲ (+0.01)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 71.24% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 0.5 28.76% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 1.5 40.7% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 59.3% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 17.97% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 82.03% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 6.18% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 93.82% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Stuttgart 40.46%
Draw 23.86%
Bayer Leverkusen 35.66%
Stuttgart
2-1 @ 8.56% ▼ (-0.08)
1-0 @ 7.36% ▲ (+0.07)
2-0 @ 5.71% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.53% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.34% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 8.08% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 40.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.82% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.2%
0-0 @ 4.71% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.29% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 23.86%
Bayer Leverkusen
1-2 @ 8.07% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 6.63% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.12%
1-3 @ 4.17% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.3% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 5.89% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 35.66%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 16
B. Leverkusen
Jan 10, 2026 5.30pm
BayArena
Stuttgart
Bundesliga Gameweek 26
Stuttgart
Mar 16, 2025 6.30pm
3
4
HT : 1 0
FT Mercedes-Benz-Arena
B. Leverkusen
  • Ermedin Demirovic 14' goal
  • Atakan Karazor 27' yellowcard
  • Nick Woltemade 48' goal
  • Finn Jeltsch 51' yellowcard
  • Granit Xhaka 62' goal
  • Nick Woltemade 64' yellowcard
  • goal Jeremie Frimpong 56'
  • goal Piero Hincapie 67'
  • yellowcard Robert Andrich 74'
  • yellowcard Piero Hincapie 76'
  • goal Angelo Stiller 88' (OG)
  • yellowcard Xabi Alonso 90'+1'
  • goal Patrik Schick 90'+4'
Bundesliga Gameweek 9
B. Leverkusen
Nov 1, 2024 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT BayArena
Stuttgart
  • Robert Andrich 30' yellowcard
  • Nordi Mukiele 42' yellowcard
  • Granit Xhaka 51' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Atakan Karazor 52'
  • yellowcard Enzo Millot 56'
  • yellowcard Anrie Chase 68'
  • yellowcard Angelo Stiller 69'
DFL-Supercup
B. Leverkusen
Aug 17, 2024 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
ET BayArena
Stuttgart
  • Victor Boniface 11' goal
  • Martin Terrier 37' redcard
  • Xabi Alonso 43' yellowcard
  • Granit Xhaka 60' yellowcard
  • Edmond Tapsoba 71' yellowcard
  • Victor Boniface 81' yellowcard
  • Florian Wirtz 85' yellowcard
  • Jeremie Frimpong 86' yellowcard
  • Patrik Schick 88' goal
  • goal Enzo Millot 15'
  • yellowcard Angelo Stiller 44'
  • goal Deniz Undav 63'
  • yellowcard Ermedin Demirovic 71'
  • yellowcard Enzo Millot 78'
  • yellowcard Pascal Stenzel 82'
  • yellowcard Julian Chabot 86'
Bundesliga Gameweek 31
B. Leverkusen
Apr 27, 2024 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT BayArena
Stuttgart
  • Exequiel Palacios 31' yellowcard
  • Xabi Alonso 32' yellowcard
  • Kossonou Odilon 41' yellowcard
  • Robert Andrich 58' yellowcard
  • Amine Adli 61' goal
  • Xabi Alonso 70' yellowcard
  • Piero Hincapie 83' yellowcard
  • Robert Andrich 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Deniz Undav 41'
  • goal Chris Fuhrich 47'
  • goal Deniz Undav 56'
  • yellowcard Enzo Millot 69'
  • yellowcard Maximilian Mittelstadt 77'
DFB-Pokal
B. Leverkusen
Feb 6, 2024 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT BayArena
Stuttgart
  • Robert Andrich 18' yellowcard
  • Jeremie Frimpong 34' yellowcard
  • Robert Andrich 50' goal
  • Amine Adli 66' goal
  • Jonathan Tah 90' goal
  • goal Waldemar Anton 11'
  • yellowcard Maximilian Mittelstadt 26'
  • goal Chris Fuhrich 58'

Form Data

Hoffenheim 3 - 3 Stuttgart
Stuttgart 1 - 1 Werder Bremen
Stuttgart 2 - 1 Freiburg
Bayern 4 - 2 Stuttgart
Stuttgart 4 - 0 Hamburger SV
Stuttgart 0 - 2 Dortmund
B. Leverkusen 4 - 1 RB Leipzig
FC Koln 1 - 2 B. Leverkusen
B. Leverkusen 0 - 2 Bayern
B. Leverkusen 1 - 2 Augsburg
Dortmund 0 - 1 B. Leverkusen
B. Leverkusen 6 - 3 Wolfsburg