Bundesliga Gameweek 3
RB Leipzig
Sep 13, 2026 2.30pm
Red Bull Arena
Hamburger SV

RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 2.30pm
Werder Bremen 3 - 1 RB Leipzig
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Ridle Baku

Hamburger SV

All competitions
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 2.30pm
Hamburger SV 0 - 3 Mainz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 63.75%. A draw has a probability of 19.89% and a win for Hamburger SV has a probability of 16.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.77%) , while for a Hamburger SV win it is 1-2 (4.28%).

Result

RB Leipzig 63.75%
Draw 19.89%
Hamburger SV 16.35%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.97%

Goals

Over 1.5 82.04%
Under 1.5 17.96%
Over 2.5 62.5%
Under 2.5 37.5%
Over 3.5 40.89%
Under 3.5 59.11%
Over 4.5 27.29%
Under 4.5 72.71%

First Half Winner

RB Leipzig 49.95%
Draw 32.61%
Hamburger SV 17.43%

Team To Score First

RB Leipzig 66.22%
No Goal 4.55%
Hamburger SV 29.23%

Corners

Over 8 70.68%
Equal 8 10.03%
Under 8 19.29%
Over 9 59.24%
Equal 9 11.44%
Under 9 29.32%
Over 10.5 47.38%
Under 10.5 52.62%

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 1.5 62.76%
Under 1.5 37.24%
Over 2.5 37.06%
Under 2.5 62.94%
Over 3.5 18.43%
Under 3.5 81.57%

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 0.5 52.58%
Under 0.5 47.42%
Over 1.5 22.74%
Under 1.5 77.26%
Over 2.5 7.33%
Under 2.5 92.67%
Over 3.5 2.15%
Under 3.5 97.85%

Score analysis

RB Leipzig 63.74%
Draw 19.88%
Hamburger SV 16.37%
RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 10.02%
1-0 @ 9.25%
2-0 @ 8.79%
3-1 @ 6.9%
3-0 @ 6.56%
3-2 @ 3.96%
Other @ 18.26%
Total : 63.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.77%
2-2 @ 5.18%
0-0 @ 4.55%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.88%
Hamburger SV
1-2 @ 4.28%
0-1 @ 4.15%
0-2 @ 1.99%
2-3 @ 1.71%
1-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 16.37%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 24
Hamburger SV
Mar 1, 2026 6.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Volksparkstadion
RB Leipzig
  • Warmed Omari 20' yellowcard
  • Fábio Vieira 22' goal
  • Albert Sambi Lokonga 67' yellowcard
  • Philip Otele 67' yellowcard
  • Yussuf Poulsen 67' yellowcard
  • Jean-Luc Dompé 67' yellowcard
  • Yussuf Poulsen 68' yellowcard
  • Jean-Luc Dompé 68' yellowcard
  • Rayan Philippe 87' yellowcard
  • goal Rômulo 36'
  • goal Yan Diomande 50'
  • yellowcard Rômulo 62'
  • yellowcard Ezechiel Banzuzi 72'
  • yellowcard Tidiam Gomis 72'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Henrichs 90'
  • yellowcard Conrad Harder 90'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Henrichs 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Conrad Harder 90'+5'
Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
Oct 18, 2025 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Hamburger SV
DFB-Pokal
RB Leipzig
Oct 18, 2022 5.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Red Bull Arena
Hamburger SV
  • Yussuf Poulsen 33' goal
  • Yussuf Poulsen 36' goal
  • Mohamed Simakan 69' goal
  • Benjamin Henrichs 81' goal
DFB-Pokal
Hamburger SV
Apr 23, 2019 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Volksparkstadion (Hamburg)
RB Leipzig
  • Bakery Jatta 24' goal
  • goal Yussuf Poulsen 12'
  • goal Vasilije Janjicic 53' (OG)
  • yellowcard Willi Orban 58'
  • goal Emil Forsberg 72'
Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
Jan 27, 2018 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Red Bull Arena (Leipzig)
Hamburger SV
  • Bruma 9' goal
  • yellowcard Aaron Hunt 9'
  • goal Filip Kostic 29'
  • yellowcard Kyriakos Papadopoulos 58'
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
Sep 8, 2017 7.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
RB Leipzig
  • Walace 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Naby Keita 60'
  • goal Naby Keita 67'
  • goal Timo Werner 75'

Form Data

Como 4 - 1 RB Leipzig
Werder Bremen 3 - 1 RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig 3 - 0 Borussia M'bach
Eintracht Trier 0 - 6 RB Leipzig
Bayern 3 - 1 RB Leipzig
Leeds 2 - 0 RB Leipzig
Hamburger SV 0 - 3 Mainz
Dortmund 2 - 0 Hamburger SV
Verl 0 - 3 Hamburger SV
Toulouse 1 - 2 Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV 0 - 1 Lille
Hamburger SV 1 - 2 Everton