Bundesliga Gameweek 2
Hamburger SV
Sep 6, 2026 2.30pm
0
5
HT : 0 2
FT Volksparkstadion
Mainz
  • Zakaria El Ouahdi 36' yellowcard
  • goal Sheraldo Becker 19'
  • yellowcard Anthony Caci 31'
  • goal Phillipp Mwene 41'
  • goal Phillip Tietz 48'
  • goal Phillip Tietz 83'
  • yellowcard Phillipp Mwene 85'
  • goal Ransford Königsdörffer 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Sheraldo Becker 90'+2'

Hamburger SV vs Mainz 05 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hamburger SV

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 5.30pm
Dortmund 2 - 0 Hamburger SV

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 2.30pm
Mainz 0 - 0 SC Paderborn
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Phillip Tietz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 45.11%. A win for Hamburger SV had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.83%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Hamburger SV win was 2-1 (7.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result

Hamburger SV 31.76% ▼ (-0.07)
Draw 23.13% ▼ (-0.08)
Mainz 05 45.11% ▲ (+0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.1% ▲ (+0.14)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.49% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 1.5 17.51% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 2.5 61.9% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 2.5 38.1% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 3.5 39.75% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 3.5 60.25% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 4.5 24.42% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 4.5 75.58% ▼ (-0.19)

First Half Winner

Hamburger SV 24.37%
Draw 34.19%
Mainz 05 41.44%

Team To Score First

Hamburger SV 40.25% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 4.61% ▼ (-0.06)
Mainz 05 55.14% ▲ (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 61.37%
Equal 8 10.43%
Under 8 28.2%
Over 9 50.46%
Equal 9 10.91%
Under 9 38.63%
Over 10.5 39.92%
Under 10.5 60.08%

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 1.5 37.87% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 62.13% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 16.12% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 83.88% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 3.5 5.49% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 94.51% ▼ (-0.02)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 77.5% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 0.5 22.5% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 1.5 49.91% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 1.5 50.09% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 2.5 25.02% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 2.5 74.98% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 3.5 10.55% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 3.5 89.45% ▼ (-0.11)

Score analysis

Hamburger SV 31.77%
Draw 23.13%
Mainz 05 45.1%
Hamburger SV
2-1 @ 7.12% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.07% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 4.35% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.56%
3-2 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.2%
Other @ 5.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 31.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.08% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.55% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.61% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.13%
Mainz 05
1-2 @ 8.99%
0-1 @ 6.83% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 6.15% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.23% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 3.84% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.73% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 10.33% ▲ (+0.11)
Total : 45.1%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 23
Mainz
Feb 20, 2026 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Mewa Arena
Hamburger SV
  • Nadiem Amiri 42' goal
  • Sheraldo Becker 46' yellowcard
  • Nikolas Veratschnig 59' yellowcard
  • Paul Nebel 86' yellowcard
  • goal Fábio Vieira 64'
  • yellowcard William Mikelbrencis 65'
  • yellowcard Yussuf Poulsen 65'
  • yellowcard Rayan Philippe 76'
  • yellowcard Daniel Elfadli 87'
  • yellowcard Giorgi Gocholeishvili 88'
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
Oct 5, 2025 4.30pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Mainz
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
Mar 3, 2018 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Volksparkstadion (Hamburg)
Mainz
  • Walace 28' yellowcard
  • Jann-Fiete Arp 82' yellowcard
  • Douglas Santos 90' yellowcard
  • Christian Mathenia 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gerrit Holtmann 16'
  • yellowcard Leon-Aderemi Balogun 34'
  • redcard Leon-Aderemi Balogun 61'
  • yellowcard Jean-Philippe Gbamin 70'
  • yellowcard Stefan Bell 84'
Bundesliga
Mainz
Oct 14, 2017 2.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT OPEL ARENA (Mainz)
Hamburger SV
  • Alexandru Maxim 2' goal
  • Stefan Bell 52' goal
  • Danny Latza 58' goal
  • Abdou Diallo 73' yellowcard
  • goal Walace 9'
  • yellowcard Mergim Mavraj 42'
  • goal Sejad Salihovic 90'
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
May 7, 2017 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Mainz
  • Gotoku Sakai 70' yellowcard
  • Mergim Mavraj 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Giulio Donati 78'
Bundesliga
Mainz
Dec 17, 2016 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Hamburger SV
  • Danny Latza 35' goal
  • Pablo de Blasis 41' yellowcard
  • Danny Latza 56' goal
  • Danny Latza 67' goal
  • Danny Latza 68' yellowcard
  • goal Bobby Wood 21'
  • yellowcard Emir Spahic 43'
  • yellowcard Michael Gregoritsch 53'
  • yellowcard Matthias Ostrzolek 79'

Form Data

Dortmund 2 - 0 Hamburger SV
Verl 0 - 3 Hamburger SV
Toulouse 1 - 2 Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV 0 - 1 Lille
Hamburger SV 1 - 2 Everton
Heidenheim 1 - 3 Hamburger SV
Mainz 0 - 0 SC Paderborn
Krieschow 0 - 9 Mainz
Mainz 2 - 1 Bournemouth
Mainz 4 - 0 Paris FC
Udinese 3 - 3 Mainz
Mainz 1 - 0 Shabab Al-Ahli