Club Friendlies 3
Aug 8, 2026 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Volksparkstadion

Hamburger SV vs Lille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hamburger SV

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Aug 1, 2026 4.00pm
Hamburger SV 1 - 2 Everton

Lille

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Aug 1, 2026 4.00pm
Leuven 3 - 6 Lille

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 46.54%. A win for Hamburger SV had a probability of 29.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Hamburger SV win was 2-1 (7.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result

Hamburger SV 29.05% ▼ (-0.56)
Draw 24.36% ▼ (-0.47)
Lille 46.54% ▲ (+1.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.6% ▼ (-1.36)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.5% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 21.5% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 2.5 56.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 43.78% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 34.03% ▲ (+0.56)
Under 3.5 65.97% ▼ (-0.55)
Over 4.5 20.55% ▲ (+0.95)
Under 4.5 79.45% ▼ (-0.96)

First Half Winner

Hamburger SV 25.01% ▲ (+1.30)
Draw 38.21% ▼ (-3.29)
Lille 36.78% ▲ (+1.99)

Team To Score First

Hamburger SV 39.97% ▲ (+1.43)
No Goal 6.53% ▲ (+0.19)
Lille 53.5% ▼ (-1.61)

Corners

Over 8 60.36% ▼ (-0.47)
Equal 8 11.51%
Under 8 28.12% ▲ (+0.45)
Over 9 48.4% ▼ (-0.40)
Equal 9 11.97% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 9 39.64% ▲ (+0.47)
Over 10.5 37.03% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 10.5 62.97% ▲ (+0.33)

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 1.5 32.96% ▼ (-0.93)
Under 1.5 67.04% ▲ (+0.94)
Over 2.5 12.64% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 2.5 87.36% ▲ (+0.35)
Over 3.5 3.76% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 3.5 96.24% ▲ (+0.26)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5 77.21% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 0.5 22.79% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 1.5 47.88% ▲ (+0.57)
Under 1.5 52.12% ▼ (-0.57)
Over 2.5 23.23% ▲ (+1.33)
Under 2.5 76.77% ▼ (-1.33)
Over 3.5 9.43% ▲ (+0.94)
Under 3.5 90.57% ▼ (-0.95)

Score analysis

Hamburger SV 29.05%
Draw 24.37%
Lille 46.53%
Hamburger SV
2-1 @ 7.01% ▼ (-0.32)
1-0 @ 6.51% ▼ (-0.13)
2-0 @ 4.17% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.01% ▼ (-0.12)
3-2 @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.21)
3-0 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.65% ▼ (-0.21)
Total : 29.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.9% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.53% ▲ (+0.19)
2-2 @ 5.66% ▼ (-0.43)
3-3 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 0.11% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 24.37%
Lille
1-2 @ 8.91% ▼ (-0.45)
0-1 @ 8.41% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 7.26% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 4.81% ▲ (+0.13)
0-3 @ 4.34% ▲ (+0.25)
2-3 @ 3.48% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 9.32% ▲ (+1.00)
Total : 46.53%