Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 60.65%. A draw had a probability of 23.49% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 15.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.76%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%) , while for a Auxerre win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.