Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 59.74%. A draw had a probability of 22.87% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 17.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (10.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%) , while for a Auxerre win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.