Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 46.32%. A draw had a probability of 27.69% and a win for Angers had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%) , while for a Angers win it was 0-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.