Club Friendlies 3
Jul 25, 2026 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Joseph Mariën
  • Louis Patris 25' goal
  • Besfort Zeneli 74' goal
  • yellowcard Benjamin André 24'
  • redcard Saad Boussadia 32'
  • goal Gaëtan Perrin 60'
  • yellowcard Mouad Gounfissi 65'

Union SG vs Lille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Union SG

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 24, 2026 12.30pm
Union SG 4 - 1 Patro Eisden

Lille

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 18, 2026 4.00pm
Lille 3 - 0 La Louviere

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 50.67%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Lille had a probability of 22.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.4%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%) , while for a Lille win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result

Union SG 50.67%
Draw 26.8%
Lille 22.53%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.05%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.12%
Under 1.5 26.88%
Over 2.5 47.73%
Under 2.5 52.27%
Over 3.5 26.31%
Under 3.5 73.69%
Over 4.5 14.92%
Under 4.5 85.08%

First Half Winner

Union SG 34.52%
Draw 47.5%
Lille 17.98%

Team To Score First

Union SG 56.39%
No Goal 8.15%
Lille 35.46%

Corners

Over 8 50.64%
Equal 8 11.96%
Under 8 37.4%
Over 9 39.11%
Equal 9 11.53%
Under 9 49.36%
Over 10.5 28.9%
Under 10.5 71.1%

Union SG Goals

Over 1.5 45.87%
Under 1.5 54.13%
Over 2.5 20.54%
Under 2.5 79.46%
Over 3.5 7.63%
Under 3.5 92.37%

Lille Goals

Over 0.5 59.4%
Under 0.5 40.6%
Over 1.5 24.35%
Under 1.5 75.65%
Over 2.5 7.53%
Under 2.5 92.47%
Over 3.5 2.03%
Under 3.5 97.97%

Score analysis

Union SG 50.67%
Draw 26.81%
Lille 22.54%
Union SG
1-0 @ 11.84%
2-1 @ 10.4%
2-0 @ 8.77%
3-1 @ 4.71%
3-0 @ 4.29%
3-2 @ 3.09%
Other @ 7.57%
Total : 50.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.03%
0-0 @ 8.15%
2-2 @ 4.75%
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 26.81%
Lille
0-1 @ 6.91%
1-2 @ 5.41%
0-2 @ 3.57%
1-3 @ 1.94%
2-3 @ 1.41%
0-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 22.54%