Bundesliga Gameweek 1
Aug 29, 2026 5.30pm
Signal Iduna Park

Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Last game
May 16, 2026 2.30pm
Werder Bremen 0 - 2 Dortmund

Hamburger SV

All competitions
Last game
May 16, 2026 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen 1 - 1 Hamburger SV

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 53.45%. A draw has a probability of 23.37% and a win for Hamburger SV has a probability of 23.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.57%) , while for a Hamburger SV win it is 1-2 (5.94%).

Result

Borussia Dortmund 53.45%
Draw 23.37%
Hamburger SV 23.15%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.65%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.32%
Under 1.5 20.68%
Over 2.5 57.31%
Under 2.5 42.69%
Over 3.5 35.47%
Under 3.5 64.53%
Over 4.5 21.76%
Under 4.5 78.24%

First Half Winner

Borussia Dortmund 44.52%
Draw 37.03%
Hamburger SV 18.45%

Team To Score First

Borussia Dortmund 63.07%
No Goal 5.46%
Hamburger SV 31.47%

Corners

Over 8 62.02%
Equal 8 10.96%
Under 8 27.02%
Over 9 50.46%
Equal 9 11.56%
Under 9 37.98%
Over 10.5 39.3%
Under 10.5 60.7%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 1.5 53.4%
Under 1.5 46.6%
Over 2.5 27.43%
Under 2.5 72.57%
Over 3.5 11.74%
Under 3.5 88.26%

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 0.5 60.44%
Under 0.5 39.56%
Over 1.5 28.59%
Under 1.5 71.41%
Over 2.5 9.93%
Under 2.5 90.07%
Over 3.5 3.01%
Under 3.5 96.99%

Score analysis

Borussia Dortmund 53.45%
Draw 23.36%
Hamburger SV 23.15%
Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 9.85%
1-0 @ 9.5%
2-0 @ 8.25%
3-1 @ 5.75%
3-0 @ 4.81%
3-2 @ 3.79%
Other @ 11.5%
Total : 53.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.57%
2-2 @ 5.75%
0-0 @ 5.46%
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.36%
Hamburger SV
1-2 @ 5.94%
0-1 @ 5.68%
0-2 @ 3.18%
1-3 @ 2.22%
2-3 @ 2.12%
0-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 23.15%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 27
Mar 21, 2026 5.30pm
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT Signal Iduna Park
  • Felix Nmecha 45' yellowcard
  • Serhou Guirassy 46' yellowcard
  • Luca Reggiani 46' yellowcard
  • Ramy Bensebaini 46' yellowcard
  • Fábio Silva 58' yellowcard
  • Carney Chukwuemeka 58' yellowcard
  • Ramy Bensebaini 73' yellowcard
  • Serhou Guirassy 78' goal
  • Ramy Bensebaini 84' yellowcard
  • Julian Brandt 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Philip Otele 19'
  • goal Albert Sambi Lokonga 38'
  • yellowcard Damion Downs 67'
  • yellowcard Fabio Baldé 67'
  • yellowcard Damion Downs 68'
  • yellowcard Fabio Baldé 68'
  • yellowcard Otto Stange 79'
  • yellowcard Otto Stange 80'
  • yellowcard Jean-Luc Dompé 90'
  • yellowcard Rayan Philippe 90'
  • yellowcard 90'
  • yellowcard Jean-Luc Dompé 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Rayan Philippe 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Jean-Luc Dompé 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Rayan Philippe 90'+2'
Bundesliga
Nov 8, 2025 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Bundesliga
Feb 10, 2018 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Signal-Iduna-Park (Dortmund)
  • Michy Batshuayi 49' goal
  • Mario Gotze 90' goal
  • yellowcard Gideon Jung 65'
Bundesliga
Sep 20, 2017 7.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Kyriakos Papadopoulos 20' yellowcard
  • Gotoku Sakai 31' yellowcard
  • Lewis Holtby 76' yellowcard
  • goal Shinji Kagawa 24'
  • goal Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 63'
  • goal Christian Pulisic 79'
Bundesliga
Apr 4, 2017 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Gonzalo Castro 13' goal
  • Matthias Ginter 29' yellowcard
  • Shinji Kagawa 81' goal
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 93' goal
  • yellowcard Albin Ekdal 12'
  • yellowcard Filip Kostic 66'
  • yellowcard Lewis Holtby 80'
Bundesliga
Nov 5, 2016 2.30pm
2
5
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Nicolai Muller 55' goal
  • Gotoku Sakai 68' yellowcard
  • Nicolai Muller 82' goal
  • Douglas Santos 85' yellowcard
  • goal Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 4'
  • goal Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 23'
  • goal Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 27'
  • goal Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 48'
  • goal Ousmane Dembele 76'