Bundesliga
Dortmund
Aug 29, 2026 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Signal Iduna Park
Hamburger SV
  • Serhou Guirassy 9' goal
  • Sebastiaan Bornauw 45'+1' goal
  • Julian Ryerson 58' yellowcard
  • Samuele Inácio 77' redcard
  • Daniel Svensson 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Albert Sambi Lokonga 21'

Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Last game
May 16, 2026 2.30pm
Werder Bremen 0 - 2 Dortmund
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Serhou Guirassy

Hamburger SV

All competitions
Last game
May 16, 2026 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen 1 - 1 Hamburger SV

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 53.58%. A win for Hamburger SV had a probability of 23.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Hamburger SV win was 1-2 (6.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result

Borussia Dortmund 53.58% ▼ (-0.31)
Draw 22.59% ▲ (+0.04)
Hamburger SV 23.8% ▲ (+0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.62% ▼ (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.38% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 19.62% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 58.88% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 41.12% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 36.14% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 63.86% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 21.95% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 78.05% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Borussia Dortmund 39.5% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 38.81% ▼ (-0.06)
Hamburger SV 21.69% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Borussia Dortmund 61.09% ▼ (-0.10)
No Goal 4.91%
Hamburger SV 34% ▲ (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 58.29% ▼ (-0.51)
Equal 8 11.15%
Under 8 30.56% ▲ (+0.51)
Over 9 46.88% ▼ (-0.47)
Equal 9 11.41% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 9 41.71% ▲ (+0.51)
Over 10.5 36.15% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 10.5 63.85% ▲ (+0.40)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 1.5 53.94% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 1.5 46.06% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 2.5 27.89% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 2.5 72.11% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 3.5 11.44% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 88.56% ▲ (+0.10)

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 0.5 61.36% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 0.5 38.64% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 1.5 29.72% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 1.5 70.28% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 2.5 10.29% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 2.5 89.71% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 3.5 3.14% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 96.86% ▼ (-0.08)

Score analysis

Borussia Dortmund 53.58%
Draw 22.59%
Hamburger SV 23.8%
Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 9.87% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 9.27% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.1% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 6.07% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.94% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 11.26% ▼ (-0.10)
Total : 53.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.29% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.84% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.91%
3-3 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.18% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 22.59%
Hamburger SV
1-2 @ 6.54% ▲ (+0.05)
0-1 @ 5.41% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.11% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.96% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 23.8%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 27
Dortmund
Mar 21, 2026 5.30pm
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT Signal Iduna Park
Hamburger SV
  • Felix Nmecha 45' yellowcard
  • Serhou Guirassy 46' yellowcard
  • Luca Reggiani 46' yellowcard
  • Ramy Bensebaini 46' yellowcard
  • Fábio Silva 58' yellowcard
  • Carney Chukwuemeka 58' yellowcard
  • Ramy Bensebaini 73' yellowcard
  • Serhou Guirassy 78' goal
  • Ramy Bensebaini 84' yellowcard
  • Julian Brandt 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Philip Otele 19'
  • goal Albert Sambi Lokonga 38'
  • yellowcard Damion Downs 67'
  • yellowcard Fabio Baldé 67'
  • yellowcard Damion Downs 68'
  • yellowcard Fabio Baldé 68'
  • yellowcard Otto Stange 79'
  • yellowcard Otto Stange 80'
  • yellowcard Jean-Luc Dompé 90'
  • yellowcard Rayan Philippe 90'
  • yellowcard 90'
  • yellowcard Jean-Luc Dompé 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Rayan Philippe 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Jean-Luc Dompé 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Rayan Philippe 90'+2'
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
Nov 8, 2025 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Dortmund
Bundesliga
Dortmund
Feb 10, 2018 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Signal-Iduna-Park (Dortmund)
Hamburger SV
  • Michy Batshuayi 49' goal
  • Mario Gotze 90' goal
  • yellowcard Gideon Jung 65'
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
Sep 20, 2017 7.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
Dortmund
  • Kyriakos Papadopoulos 20' yellowcard
  • Gotoku Sakai 31' yellowcard
  • Lewis Holtby 76' yellowcard
  • goal Shinji Kagawa 24'
  • goal Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 63'
  • goal Christian Pulisic 79'
Bundesliga
Dortmund
Apr 4, 2017 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Hamburger SV
  • Gonzalo Castro 13' goal
  • Matthias Ginter 29' yellowcard
  • Shinji Kagawa 81' goal
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 93' goal
  • yellowcard Albin Ekdal 12'
  • yellowcard Filip Kostic 66'
  • yellowcard Lewis Holtby 80'
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
Nov 5, 2016 2.30pm
2
5
HT : 0 3
FT
Dortmund
  • Nicolai Muller 55' goal
  • Gotoku Sakai 68' yellowcard
  • Nicolai Muller 82' goal
  • Douglas Santos 85' yellowcard
  • goal Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 4'
  • goal Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 23'
  • goal Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 27'
  • goal Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 48'
  • goal Ousmane Dembele 76'

Form Data

Dortmund 1 - 2 Bayern
Dortmund 2 - 2 Roma
FC Tokyo 0 - 1 Dortmund
Cerezo 1 - 0 Dortmund
Dusseldorf 2 - 1 Dortmund
Oberhausen 1 - 3 Dortmund
Verl 0 - 3 Hamburger SV
Toulouse 1 - 2 Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV 0 - 1 Lille
Hamburger SV 1 - 2 Everton
Heidenheim 1 - 3 Hamburger SV
Rapid Vienna 3 - 2 Hamburger SV