Club Friendlies 3
Aug 15, 2026 6.00pm
Stadium de Toulouse

Toulouse vs Hamburger SV - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 9.00am
Elche 3 - 0 Toulouse

Hamburger SV

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 2.00pm
Hamburger SV 0 - 1 Lille

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Toulouse win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Hamburger SV has a probability of 29.39% and a draw has a probability of 26.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Hamburger SV win is 1-2 (7.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.13%).

Result

Toulouse 44.56% (-0.02)
Draw 26.05% (-0.08)
Hamburger SV 29.39% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.22% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.11%
Under 1.5 23.89%
Over 2.5 52.25%
Under 2.5 47.75%
Over 3.5 30.08% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 69.92% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 16.73% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 83.27% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Toulouse 34.12% (+0.18)
Draw 41.48% (-0.22)
Hamburger SV 24.4% (+0.03)

Team To Score First

Toulouse 53.16% (+0.06)
No Goal 6.8% (-0.04)
Hamburger SV 40.04% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 57.55% (+0.31)
Equal 8 11.91% (+0.01)
Under 8 30.54% (-0.33)
Over 9 45.43% (+0.28)
Equal 9 12.12% (+0.04)
Under 9 42.45% (-0.31)
Over 10.5 34.17% (+0.22)
Under 10.5 65.83% (-0.22)

Toulouse Goals

Over 1.5 44.13% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 55.87% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 19.18% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 80.82% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 6.51% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 93.49% (+0.02)

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 0.5 65.98% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 34.02% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 32.45% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 67.55% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 11.64% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 88.36% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.61%
Under 3.5 96.39%

Score analysis

Toulouse 44.58%
Draw 26.04%
Hamburger SV 29.39%
Toulouse
1-0 @ 9.86%
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.29%
3-1 @ 4.71% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.61%
3-2 @ 3.19% (+0.01)
Other @ 6.47%
Total : 44.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.13% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.8% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.04% (-0.02)
Total : 26.04%
Hamburger SV
1-2 @ 7.28%
0-1 @ 7.24% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 4.43% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.74% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.3% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.83%
Other @ 3.57% (+0.03)
Total : 29.39%