Club Friendlies 3
Aug 15, 2026 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadium de Toulouse
  • 41' yellowcard
  • Santiago Hidalgo 60' goal
  • goal Otto Stange 4'
  • yellowcard Martin Adeline 14'
  • yellowcard 28'
  • yellowcard 62'
  • goal Albert Grønbæk 90'+1'

Toulouse vs Hamburger SV - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 9.00am
Elche 3 - 0 Toulouse

Hamburger SV

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 2.00pm
Hamburger SV 0 - 1 Lille

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 44.58%. A win for Hamburger SV had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Hamburger SV win was 1-2 (7.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result

Toulouse 44.58% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 26.04% ▼ (-0.02)
Hamburger SV 29.43% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.2% ▼ (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.17% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 23.83% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 52.35% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 47.65% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 30.15% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 69.85% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 4.5 16.78% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 4.5 83.22% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Toulouse 34.08% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 41.52% ▲ (+0.05)
Hamburger SV 24.4%

Team To Score First

Toulouse 53.12% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 6.8%
Hamburger SV 40.08% ▲ (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 57.22% ▼ (-0.33)
Equal 8 11.9% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 30.88% ▲ (+0.34)
Over 9 45.14% ▼ (-0.29)
Equal 9 12.08% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 9 42.78% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 10.5 33.94% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 10.5 66.06% ▲ (+0.24)

Toulouse Goals

Over 1.5 44.15% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 55.85% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 19.21% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 80.79% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 6.53% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 93.47% ▼ (-0.02)

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 0.5 66.02% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 33.98% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 1.5 32.51% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 67.49% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 11.68% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 88.32% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 3.62% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.38% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Toulouse 44.58%
Draw 26.04%
Hamburger SV 29.42%
Toulouse
1-0 @ 9.85% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.45%
2-0 @ 7.27% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.71%
3-0 @ 3.61%
3-2 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 6.49% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 44.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 6.8%
2-2 @ 5.91%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.04%
Total : 26.04%
Hamburger SV
1-2 @ 7.29% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.22% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.43%
1-3 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.58% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 29.42%