Bundesliga
Aug 29, 2026 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Mewa Arena
  • Phillipp Mwene 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Santiago Castañeda 38'
  • yellowcard Mattes Hansen 72'

Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last game
May 16, 2026 2.30pm
Heidenheim 0 - 2 Mainz

SC Paderborn

All competitions
Last game
Jun 27, 2020 2.30pm
Frankfurt 3 - 2 SC Paderborn

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 0-1 (7.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result

Mainz 05 40.09% ▼ (-0.07)
Draw 26.16% ▲ (+0.04)
SC Paderborn 33.72% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.14% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.15% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 23.85% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 52.37% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 47.63% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 30.38% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 69.62% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 16.99% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 83.01% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Mainz 05 30.66% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 40.87% ▲ (+0.02)
SC Paderborn 28.47%

Team To Score First

Mainz 05 50.13% ▼ (-0.05)
No Goal 6.63% ▲ (+0.02)
SC Paderborn 43.24% ▲ (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 54.78% ▼ (-0.18)
Equal 8 11.68% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 33.54% ▲ (+0.19)
Over 9 43.15% ▼ (-0.17)
Equal 9 11.63% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 9 45.22% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 10.5 32.52% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 10.5 67.48% ▲ (+0.14)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 1.5 40.68% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 59.32% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 17.05% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 82.95% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 5.65% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 94.35% ▲ (+0.04)

SC Paderborn Goals

Over 0.5 69.1% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 30.9% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 36.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 63.87% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 14.3%
Under 2.5 85.7%
Over 3.5 4.86% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 95.14% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Mainz 05 40.07%
Draw 26.15%
SC Paderborn 33.71%
Mainz 05
1-0 @ 9.27% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.83% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.44%
3-1 @ 4.14% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.9% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 5.44% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 40.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.12% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.63% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.88% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 26.15%
SC Paderborn
0-1 @ 7.88%
1-2 @ 7.81% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.24%
1-3 @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.3%
Other @ 4.65% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 33.71%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 24
Feb 29, 2020 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Opel Arena
  • Robin Quaison 29' goal
  • Karim Onisiwo 31' yellowcard
  • Karim Onisiwo 37' goal
  • yellowcard Klaus Gjasula 41'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Vasiliadis 57'
  • yellowcard Sven Michel 90'
Bundesliga Gameweek 7
Oct 5, 2019 2.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Benteler-Arena (Paderborn)
  • Ben Zolinski 14' goal
  • Marlon Ritter 67' yellowcard
  • goal Robin Quaison 8'
  • yellowcard Moussa Niakhate 25'
  • goal Daniel Brosinski 32'
  • yellowcard Bote Baku 35'
  • yellowcard Levin Oztunali 70'
  • yellowcard Edimilson Fernandes 83'
Bundesliga
Jan 31, 2015 2.30pm
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Yunus Malli 6' goal
  • Yunus Malli 46' goal
  • Pablo de Blasis 69' goal
  • Sami Allagui 82' goal
  • Johannes Geis 87' goal
  • yellowcard Rafa 32'
Bundesliga
Aug 24, 2014 2.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Elias Kachunga 37' goal
  • Daniel Brückner 44' yellowcard
  • Mario Vrancic 61' yellowcard
  • Uwe Hünemeier 87' goal
  • goal Shinji Okazaki 33'
  • yellowcard Daniel Brosinski 45'
  • yellowcard Joo-Ho Park 67'
  • goal Ja-Cheol Koo 94'