Club Friendlies 1
Aug 15, 2026 2.30pm
Allianz Arena

Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last game
Aug 7, 2026 1.00pm
Bayern 2 - 1 Aston Villa

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 63.94%. A win for RB Leipzig has a probability of 19.01% and a draw has a probability of 17.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (7.41%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win is 1-2 (4.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (6.64%).

Result

Bayern Munich 63.94%
Draw 17.06% (+0.03)
RB Leipzig 19.01% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.5%

Goals

Over 1.5 90.39% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 9.61% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 75.73% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 24.27% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 56.4%
Under 3.5 43.6%
Over 4.5 41.23%
Under 4.5 58.77%

First Half Winner

Bayern Munich 48.96% (-0.08)
Draw 29.8% (+0.06)
RB Leipzig 21.25% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Bayern Munich 63.73% (-0.05)
No Goal 2.17%
RB Leipzig 34.1% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 66.48% (-0.04)
Equal 8 9.26%
Under 8 24.26% (+0.04)
Over 9 56.41% (-0.04)
Equal 9 10.07%
Under 9 33.52% (+0.05)
Over 10.5 46.23% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 53.77% (+0.04)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 1.5 70.22% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 29.78% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 46.88% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 53.12% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 26.56%
Under 3.5 73.44%

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 55.52% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 44.48% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 30.13% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 69.87% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 12.83% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 87.17% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.91%
Under 3.5 95.09%

Score analysis

Bayern Munich 63.94%
Draw 17.06%
RB Leipzig 18.99%
Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 8.8% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 7.41%
2-0 @ 6.02% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.45% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 5.43% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 4.89%
Other @ 25.94% (-0.01)
Total : 63.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.64%
2-2 @ 5.6%
0-0 @ 2.17%
3-3 @ 2.03% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.62% (+0.02)
Total : 17.06%
RB Leipzig
1-2 @ 4.26%
2-3 @ 2.92% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 2.54% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.15% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.01% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.29% (-0.01)
Total : 18.99%

Head to Head

DFB-Pokal
Feb 11, 2026 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Arena
  • Harry Kane 64' yellowcard
  • Luis Diaz 67' goal
  • Luis Díaz 67' goal
  • Konrad Laimer 69' yellowcard
  • Jamal Musiala 69' yellowcard
  • Leon Goretzka 80' yellowcard
  • Hiroki Ito 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ezechiel Banzuzi 78'
  • yellowcard Brajan Gruda 78'
  • yellowcard Conrad Harder 78'
  • yellowcard Tidiam Gomis 89'
  • yellowcard Tidiam Gomis 90'
  • yellowcard El Chadaille Bitshiabu 90'+4'
Bundesliga Gameweek 18
Jan 17, 2026 5.30pm
1
5
HT : 2 0
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Romulo Cardoso 20' goal
  • Rômulo 20' goal
  • Ezechiel Banzuzi 81' yellowcard
  • Conrad Harder 81' yellowcard
  • Tidiam Gomis 84' yellowcard
  • Andrija Maksimovic 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joshua Kimmich 46'
  • goal Serge Gnabry 50'
  • yellowcard Michael Olise 56'
  • goal Harry Kane 67'
  • yellowcard Alphonso Davies 81'
  • goal Jonathan Tah 82'
  • goal Aleksandar Pavlovic 85'
  • yellowcard Min-jae Kim 86'
  • yellowcard Jamal Musiala 87'
  • goal Michael Olise 88'
Bundesliga
Aug 22, 2025 7.30pm
6
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Bundesliga Gameweek 32
May 3, 2025 2.30pm
3
3
HT : 2 0
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Benjamin Sesko 11' goal
  • Lukas Klostermann 39' goal
  • David Raum 50' yellowcard
  • Kevin Kampl 77' yellowcard
  • Kevin Kampl 78' yellowcard
  • Arthur Vermeeren 89' yellowcard
  • Yussuf Poulsen 90'+4' goal
  • goal Eric Dier 62'
  • goal Michael Olise 63'
  • yellowcard Eric Dier 73'
  • goal Leroy Sane 83'
Bundesliga Gameweek 15
Dec 20, 2024 7.30pm
5
1
HT : 3 1
FT Allianz Arena
  • Jamal Musiala 1' goal
  • Dayot Upamecano 20' yellowcard
  • Konrad Laimer 25' goal
  • Joshua Kimmich 36' goal
  • Michael Olise 56' yellowcard
  • Harry Kane 60' yellowcard
  • Konrad Laimer 64' yellowcard
  • Leroy Sane 75' goal
  • Alphonso Davies 78' goal
  • Joshua Kimmich 82' yellowcard
  • goal Benjamin Sesko 2'
  • yellowcard Xaver Schlager 26'
  • yellowcard Marco Rose 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Henrichs 59'
Bundesliga Gameweek 23
Feb 24, 2024 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Arena
  • Aleksandar Pavlovic 37' yellowcard
  • Harry Kane 56' goal
  • Matthijs de Ligt 59' yellowcard
  • Jamal Musiala 66' yellowcard
  • Harry Kane 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Willi Orban 41'
  • yellowcard Xaver Schlager 67'
  • goal Benjamin Sesko 70'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Simakan 78'