Club Friendlies 3
Jul 25, 2026 1.00pm
Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig vs FC Ingolstadt 04 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 18, 2026 1.00pm
Altglienicke 1 - 2 RB Leipzig

FC Ingolstadt 04

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 18, 2026 3.00pm
Ingolstadt 1 - 0 Palermo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 70.3%. A draw has a probability of 16.93% and a win for FC Ingolstadt 04 has a probability of 12.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.52%) and 1-0 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.93%) , while for a FC Ingolstadt 04 win it is 1-2 (3.73%).

Result

RB Leipzig 70.3%
Draw 16.93%
FC Ingolstadt 04 12.76%

Both Teams to Score: 

61.18%

Goals

Over 1.5 85.6%
Under 1.5 14.4%
Over 2.5 66.72%
Under 2.5 33.28%
Over 3.5 44.74%
Under 3.5 55.26%
Over 4.5 31.49%
Under 4.5 68.51%

First Half Winner

RB Leipzig 55.04% (-0.01)
Draw 30.33%
FC Ingolstadt 04 14.63% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

RB Leipzig 68.73%
No Goal 3.07%
FC Ingolstadt 04 28.2%

Corners

Over 8 79.71%
Equal 8 7.7%
Under 8 12.59%
Over 9 70.18%
Equal 9 9.53%
Under 9 20.29%
Over 10.5 59.45%
Under 10.5 40.55%

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 1.5 69.46%
Under 1.5 30.54%
Over 2.5 43.03%
Under 2.5 56.97%
Over 3.5 22.21%
Under 3.5 77.79%

FC Ingolstadt 04 Goals

Over 0.5 49.39%
Under 0.5 50.61%
Over 1.5 20.5%
Under 1.5 79.5%
Over 2.5 5.98%
Under 2.5 94.02%
Over 3.5 1.7%
Under 3.5 98.3%

Score analysis

RB Leipzig 70.3%
Draw 16.94%
FC Ingolstadt 04 12.78%
RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 10.55%
2-0 @ 9.52%
1-0 @ 8.45%
3-1 @ 7.51%
3-0 @ 7.39%
3-2 @ 4.68%
Other @ 22.2%
Total : 70.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.93%
2-2 @ 4.69%
0-0 @ 3.07%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 16.94%
FC Ingolstadt 04
1-2 @ 3.73%
0-1 @ 2.9%
2-3 @ 1.67%
0-2 @ 1.42%
1-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 12.78%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Apr 29, 2017 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Dayotchanculle Upamecano 18' yellowcard
  • Stefano Ilsanker 26' yellowcard
  • Yussuf Poulsen 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dario Lezcano 28'
  • yellowcard Roger 43'
  • yellowcard Marcel Tisserand 48'
  • yellowcard Alfredo Morales 59'
  • yellowcard Stefan Lex 64'
  • redcard Alfredo Morales 86'
Bundesliga
Dec 10, 2016 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Roger 12' goal
  • Mathew Leckie 94' yellowcard
  • Mathew Leckie 94' redcard
  • Florent Hadergjonaj 95' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marcel Sabitzer 34'
  • yellowcard Timo Werner 61'
  • yellowcard Stefan Islanker 91'
  • yellowcard Davie Selke 94'