Club Friendlies 3
Jul 18, 2026 1.00am
Audi-Sportpark

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Palermo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Ingolstadt 04

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 9, 2026 1.30pm
Ingolstadt 2 - 0 LASK

Palermo

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 15, 2026 4.30pm
Palermo 8 - 0 Gherdëina

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Palermo win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for FC Ingolstadt 04 has a probability of 32.75% and a draw has a probability of 24.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.87%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest FC Ingolstadt 04 win is 2-1 (7.78%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.11%).

Result

FC Ingolstadt 04 32.75% (-0.10)
Draw 24.64% (+0.07)
Palermo 42.61% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.74% (-0.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.6% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 21.4% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 56.55% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 43.45% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 34.65%
Under 3.5 65.35%
Over 4.5 20.27% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 79.73% (+0.03)

First Half Winner

FC Ingolstadt 04 27.21%
Draw 37.23% (+0.02)
Palermo 35.56% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

FC Ingolstadt 04 43.77% (-0.04)
No Goal 5.56% (+0.01)
Palermo 50.67% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 68.2%
Equal 8 10.57%
Under 8 21.23%
Over 9 56.4% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.8% (-0.01)
Under 9 31.8%
Over 10.5 44.44% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 55.56% (-0.02)

FC Ingolstadt 04 Goals

Over 1.5 37.41% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 62.59% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 14.99% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 85.01% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 5.27% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 94.73% (+0.03)

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5 75.9% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 24.1% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 44.58% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 55.42% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 20.04% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 79.96% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 7.19%
Under 3.5 92.81%

Score analysis

FC Ingolstadt 04 32.75%
Draw 24.64%
Palermo 42.61%
FC Ingolstadt 04
2-1 @ 7.78% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.97%
2-0 @ 4.67% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.56% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.82% (-0.02)
Other @ 5.08% (-0.02)
Total : 32.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.11% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.31% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.56% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.47% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.64%
Palermo
1-2 @ 9.09% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 8.87% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.27%
1-3 @ 4.51% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.66%
0-3 @ 3.21% (+0.01)
Other @ 7%
Total : 42.61%