Club Friendlies 3
Jul 18, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Audi-Sportpark
  • Ognjen Drakulic 66' goal
  • yellowcard 14'
  • yellowcard 62'

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Palermo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Ingolstadt 04

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 9, 2026 1.30pm
Ingolstadt 2 - 0 LASK

Palermo

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 15, 2026 4.30pm
Palermo 8 - 0 Gherdëina

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for FC Ingolstadt 04 had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest FC Ingolstadt 04 win was 2-1 (7.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result

FC Ingolstadt 04 32.39% (-0.36)
Draw 24.76% (+0.13)
Palermo 42.86% (+0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.49% (-0.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.24% (-0.36)
Under 1.5 21.76% (+0.37)
Over 2.5 55.92% (-0.63)
Under 2.5 44.08% (+0.63)
Over 3.5 34.2% (-0.45)
Under 3.5 65.8% (+0.46)
Over 4.5 19.94% (-0.33)
Under 4.5 80.06% (+0.33)

First Half Winner

FC Ingolstadt 04 27.26% (+0.06)
Draw 37.17% (-0.06)
Palermo 35.57% (+0.01)

Team To Score First

FC Ingolstadt 04 43.55% (-0.23)
No Goal 5.72% (+0.17)
Palermo 50.73% (+0.06)

Corners

Over 8 67.99% (-0.22)
Equal 8 10.57%
Under 8 21.43% (+0.20)
Over 9 56.21% (-0.19)
Equal 9 11.78% (-0.03)
Under 9 32.01% (+0.21)
Over 10.5 44.3% (-0.15)
Under 10.5 55.7% (+0.15)

FC Ingolstadt 04 Goals

Over 1.5 36.87% (-0.54)
Under 1.5 63.13% (+0.54)
Over 2.5 14.51% (-0.49)
Under 2.5 85.49% (+0.48)
Over 3.5 5.09% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 94.91% (+0.18)

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5 75.88% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 24.12% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 44.53% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 55.47% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 19.98% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 80.02% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 7.13% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 92.87% (+0.07)

Score analysis

FC Ingolstadt 04 32.4%
Draw 24.76%
Palermo 42.86%
FC Ingolstadt 04
2-1 @ 7.72% (-0.07)
1-0 @ 7.05% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 4.72% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.45% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 1.73% (-0.10)
Other @ 4.92% (-0.17)
Total : 32.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.17% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 6.27% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 5.72% (+0.17)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.17% (-0.02)
Total : 24.76%
Palermo
1-2 @ 9.06% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 9.01% (+0.15)
0-2 @ 6.41% (+0.15)
1-3 @ 4.55% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 3.65% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.22% (+0.02)
Other @ 6.96% (-0.05)
Total : 42.86%